China

China expected to keep lending rates steady, focus turns to Politburo meet
China

China expected to keep lending rates steady, focus turns to Politburo meet

China is widely expected to leave its benchmark lending rates unchanged at a monthly fixing on Monday, a Reuters survey showed, as signs of economic resilience reduced the urgency for further monetary easing. The loan prime rate (LPR), normally charged to banks' best clients, is calculated each month after 20 designated commercial banks submit proposed rates to the People's Bank of China (PBOC). Most new and outstanding loans in China are based on the one-year LPR, while the five-year rate influences the pricing of mortgages. The consensus of no immediate monetary easing comes as data this week showed China's second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth nudged slightly above market expectations, even though weak domestic demand and uncertainty around U.S. tariffs have r...
Japan tells its companies in Taiwan ‘you’re on your own’ if China invades
China

Japan tells its companies in Taiwan ‘you’re on your own’ if China invades

FDI has slumped as businesses are warned to take on burden of protecting their staff if Beijing attacks Please use the sharing tools found via the share button at the top or side of articles. Copying articles to share with others is a breach of FT.com T&Cs and Copyright Policy. Email licensing@ft.com to buy additional rights. Subscribers may share up to 10 or 20 articles per month using the gift article service. More information can be found at https://www.ft.com/tour. https://www.ft.com/content/04626778-0753-4fa5-a735-f1a5613b3293 Japanese government officials are telling companies they would be “on their own” if they needed to evacuate staff from Taiwan in case of a Chinese attack, according to people familiar with the matter, a message that has hit one of Taiwan’s l...
China’s ‘silent war’
China

China’s ‘silent war’

Beijing instituted export curbs on seven rare earth elements and magnets that have applications in defence, energy, and car manufacturing sectors in April as a result of US President Donald Trump’s tariff war on Chinese products. Seven of 17 rare earth elements—samarium, gadolinium, terbium, dysprosium, lutetium, scandium, and yttrium—come under the ambit of the new restrictions. The new regulations necessitate that companies procure special licences to export the minerals and magnets. As the Chinese state builds a Great Wall of red tape, private firms have been buried under paperwork to obtain compliances. The shortages caused due to the latest controls underscore how dependent the West is on China for critical components in manufacturing electric automobiles, wind-turbine generat...
China growth beats expectations as Trump tariffs loom
China

China growth beats expectations as Trump tariffs loom

China's economy has beaten expectations even as US President Donald Trump's tariffs and a prolonged crisis in the property market weigh on growth. Official figures show the world's second largest economy grew by 5.2% in the three months to the end of June, compared to the same time last year. That's better than the 5.1% forecast by many economists but lower than the previous quarter. The country has so far avoided a sharp downturn, partly due to measures announced by Beijing to help support the economy and a fragile trade truce with Washington. The economy "withstood pressure and made steady improvement despite challenges", said China's National Bureau of Statistics in a statement. Officials said economic growth was helped by a 6.4% expansion in manufacturing, with higher ...
China’s economy beats expectations in face of Trump’s trade war
China

China’s economy beats expectations in face of Trump’s trade war

GDP grows 5.2% in second quarter as world’s second largest economy ‘front-loads’ shipments before tariffs kick in China’s economy grew more strongly than expected in the second quarter as it proved resilient in the face of Donald Trump’s trade war. China’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew 5.2% in April to June compared with a year earlier, slowing from 5.4% in the first quarter, but just ahead of analysts’ expectations for a rise of 5.1%. The world’s second largest economy has so far avoided a sharp slowdown in part due to support by Beijing and as factories took advantage of a US-China trade truce to make shipments before tariffs kicked in, or “front-loading”. However, investors are bracing for a weaker second half as exports lose momentum, prices continue to fall, and c...
<strong>China currency collapse: A ticking time bomb for global economy</strong>
China

China currency collapse: A ticking time bomb for global economy

China’s Yuan is plunging to record low and the timing couldn’t be worse. China’s import costs are exploding out of roof and this has shaken the global trade. Chinese manufacturing sector/firms are slowing down and prices of daily essentials are soaring. Beijing is scrambling to contain the fallout and experts have hinted out at a crisis in motion. Chinese government had injected multiple stimulus shots in recent times to stabilize its economy, but to no avail. China’s weak currency would ripple through supply chains across countries and affect everyone’s pocket. All this might trigger a chain reaction that will pull the entire global economy into recession. China had a narrative of economic revival and comeback in 2024. After surviving hard Covid times, battling property crisis and...
China-led study proposes global green-energy network to solve power crisis
China

China-led study proposes global green-energy network to solve power crisis

The world’s energy demands in 2050 could be met by an interconnected global solar-wind energy system producing three times the amount of power needed at a lower cost than independent regional systems, according to a Chinese-led study.The researchers studied how to create a network drawing on regions with abundant renewable energy potential to provide energy across and between continents to areas with high needs. While an international renewable energy market could be created by optimising solar and wind renewable energy deployment, the team said setting up such a system must navigate geopolitical boundaries and crises such as the Ukraine war. They said successful global interconnection could improve energy efficiency, ease the economic burden of decarbonisation and be resilient ...
Can China Destabilize US Government Debt? The Biggest Threat Comes from within
China, USA

Can China Destabilize US Government Debt? The Biggest Threat Comes from within

China is the second-largest foreign holder of US government debt, after Japan. As of May 2024, China-based investors held $768.3 billion worth of US government debt. In recent years, however, Chinese investors have been reducing their holdings of US government debt. Despite the large figure, Chinese holdings represent only 9.6% of total foreign holdings, and less than 3% of total US public debt held by the public. This significantly reduces China's potential destabilizing power, especially since Chinese investors cannot entirely do without US government debt, widely used as collateral in financial transactions. However, this does not mean that the US is free from financial tensions. Surprisingly, these tensions would not be inflicted by any geopolitical adversary but rather by the US'...
China’s BRI problem: From builder to debt collector
Asia, China

China’s BRI problem: From builder to debt collector

China has embarked on very rapid and massive overseas lending since 2013, when it launched the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). But it has now become the world’s largest debt collector for developing countries’ debt repayments. EAI senior research fellow Yu Hong assesses whether China’s shifting role in global lending will undercut the BRI. The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), launched in 2013, has positioned China as a central player in global infrastructure financing and development. According to a 2022 report by the World Economic Forum, Chinese enterprises and banking institutions have announced their participation in about 3,800 overseas projects under the BRI since 2013, involving a total investment of US$4.3 trillion towards building roads, railroads, seaports, energy plants a...
Indian ULBs Can Learn from China’s Massive Local Government Debt
China

Indian ULBs Can Learn from China’s Massive Local Government Debt

China’s ULB debt crisis reveals what Indian cities must avoid while building infrastructure and chasing growth. This is the 172nd in the China Chronicles seriesA key element of China’s spectacular economic growth was the immense infrastructural push country’s local governments—comprising provincial governments and urban local bodies (ULBs). This was enabled by fiscal policy support from the Chinese government and an investment environment that allowed local governments (LGs) to use debt instruments to finance infrastructure and propel local economic growth. However, the debt-driven strategy led to asymmetry: economically weaker LGs, in regions with lower Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, often borrowed more heavily than those in relatively prosperous economies. Nonetheless,...