Asia

3Dec By TheGreenZoneNo Comments
Asia

The GDP of India falls to a multi-quarter low.

India’s real GDP growth fell to a multi-quarter low of 5.4% in the second quarter of 2024, according to official figures released Friday. Economists told Reuters ahead of the release that private consumption, which accounts for about 60% of the country’s GDP, had been affected by higher flood inflation, borrowing costs, and ”sluggish″ real wage growth. But increased government spending is driving a more positive long-term outlook, analysts said: India could overtake Japan next year to be the world’s fourth-largest economy, The Economist wrote, benefiting from geopolitical tensions over China’s rise, and because ”capital will be attracted to India’s liquid stockmarkets and the inclusion of its bonds in global indices.” India’s central bank governor also said the country is&nb...
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A new dollar bloc: Reglobalization in the face of United States-China hostilities
3Dec By TheGreenZoneNo Comments
Asia, China, Market, USA

A new dollar bloc: Reglobalization in the face of United States-China hostilities

The fragmenting of free trade and the rise of industrial policy have resulted in the nascent formation of a trade, finance and currency bloc organized around American economic and security interests. Although not formalized, the democracies in the West and their primary trading partners in Asia, excluding China, appear to be coalescing around mutual economic and security interests in a de facto dollar bloc, with the U.S. Federal Reserve as the lender of last resort. A trading bloc of democracies would include more than 56% of the world’s gross domestic product. China, by contrast, has a 16.8% share of world GDP, while India has 3.4% and Russia 1.9%. In some respects, this dollar bloc evolved out of the crucible of the 2008−09 financial crisis and lessons learned around supply cha...
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China’s EV domination is humiliated by Europe’s battery issue.
30Nov By TheGreenZoneNo Comments
Asia, China

China’s EV domination is humiliated by Europe’s battery issue.

While many businesses worldwide are wringing their hands about Donald Trump’s plans for a “beautiful” tariff war – targeting Canada, Mexico and China on his first day back in the Oval Office – my attention was focused on the sub-Arctic town of Skelleftea in Sweden and the collapse of Northvolt, Europe’s electric-vehicle battery champion. Richard Milne at the Financial Times called Northvolt’s resort to Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, with US$5.8 billion of debts and just US$30 million cash in its coffers, a “Nordic noir thriller”. The collapse is nothing less than a dagger thrust into the heart of Europe’s future as a global automotive industry leader. Volkswagen has written down most of its 21 per cent stake in the venture. Goldman Sachs is writing off US$896 million in th...
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Five reasons why India’s GDP might surpass Japan’s to become the fourth biggest
29Nov By TheGreenZoneNo Comments
Asia, Market

Five reasons why India’s GDP might surpass Japan’s to become the fourth biggest

India’s economy expanded by 5.4 per cent in the July-September quarter of the ongoing fiscal year, marking a slowdown from the previous quarter’s 6.7 per cent growth. Despite this deceleration, India maintains its position as the fastest-growing major economy globally. It’s this kind of sustained growth that had led to expectations that India will surpass Japan to become the world’s fourth-largest economy. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects that this will happen as early as 2025. The international body estimates Indian economy’s size would be $4.34 trillion, compared to Japan’s $4.31 trillion. Here’s a look at five factors that could be responsible for such an achievement: Attraction of global investments: India’s financial markets have become increasi...
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Maldives abandons “India-Out” in favor of a financial lifeline
28Nov By TheGreenZoneNo Comments
Asia, Market, World

Maldives abandons “India-Out” in favor of a financial lifeline

The state visit to India last month by Maldives President Mohamed Muizzu involved a visible effort to repair the diplomatic relationship. New Delhi more than welcomed the rapprochement and signed a range of agreements with Male. India-Maldives ties were bumped up to “Comprehensive Economic and Maritime Security Partnership,” with an ambitious vision document attached. Muizzu’s visit starkly contrasted the sentiment that accompanied his rise to power. He took took office last year following a politically charged “India-Out” election campaign. Immediately upon victory, he removed from the country the minimal Indian military presence (in place primarily to assist Male operate Indian defence platforms) and “reviewed” and junked important strategic agreements with I...
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The diplomatic ties between China and Pakistan have reached a low point.
28Nov By TheGreenZoneNo Comments
Asia, China

The diplomatic ties between China and Pakistan have reached a low point.

As if Pakistan’s government wasn’t under pressure enough – with thousands of protesters on the streets and the capital Islamabad in lockdown amid calls to release former prime minister Imran Khan – relations with neighbouring China are also going from bad to worse. Beijing’s growing anger over the safety of its citizens in Pakistan has been illustrated by a surprising diplomatic spat. “It is unacceptable for us to be attacked twice in only six months,” declared China’s ambassador in Islamabad Jiang Zaidong in an unusually direct response to comments made by a senior Pakistan politician seen to be downplaying the risk. “President Xi [Jinping] cares about Chinese people’s security and puts people’s lives first,” Jiang went on to say. “He especially cares about the security of t...
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The diplomatic ties between China and Pakistan have reached a low point.
28Nov By TheGreenZoneNo Comments
Asia, China, World

The diplomatic ties between China and Pakistan have reached a low point.

As if Pakistan’s government wasn’t under pressure enough – with thousands of protesters on the streets and the capital Islamabad in lockdown amid calls to release former prime minister Imran Khan – relations with neighbouring China are also going from bad to worse. Beijing’s growing anger over the safety of its citizens in Pakistan has been illustrated by a surprising diplomatic spat. “It is unacceptable for us to be attacked twice in only six months,” declared China’s ambassador in Islamabad Jiang Zaidong in an unusually direct response to comments made by a senior Pakistan politician seen to be downplaying the risk. “President Xi [Jinping] cares about Chinese people’s security and puts people’s lives first,” Jiang went on to say. “He especially cares about the security of t...
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Beyond the inner ring of the Communist Party, a small group of well-known economists make up the “brain trust” that shapes economic policy.
28Nov By TheGreenZoneNo Comments
Asia, China, Market

Beyond the inner ring of the Communist Party, a small group of well-known economists make up the “brain trust” that shapes economic policy.

Who truly has Beijing’s ear when it comes to economic policymaking? As China navigates a period of profound economic challenges, this question has taken on new urgency. While outsiders often perceive China’s economic policies as dictated in a top-down, insulated manner, the reality is more nuanced. Policy-making in Beijing frequently involves regular engagement with trusted experts through roundtables, study sessions, and advisory committees. The voices shaping economic strategy extend beyond the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)’s inner circle to include a select “brain trust” of economists whose ideas inform and influence key decisions. To understand China’s policy direction, it is crucial to identify this brain trust. Our project does just that by analyzing the perspectives of econom...
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A trade crisis is sparked as the US threatens to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico.
28Nov By TheGreenZoneNo Comments
Asia, Market, USA, World

A trade crisis is sparked as the US threatens to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico.

The United States is threatening a significant shake-up in its trade relations with Canada and Mexico. President-Elect Trump has proposed imposing tariffs of up to 25 per cent on key imports. A Reuters report highlights that it includes crude oil, automobiles, and agricultural goods. This move comes amid escalating disputes over border security and trade imbalances. For Canada, the potential tariffs on crude oil could severely impact the nation’s economy, given that over 80 per cent of its oil exports are destined for the US. Meanwhile, Mexico, which relies heavily on automobile and agricultural exports to its northern neighbour, could face severe economic repercussions. Mexican president Claudia Sheinbaum during a press conference highlighted and I quote “to one tariff will c...
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The US-China tech battle has reached a “turning point” with Huawei’s latest smartphone.
26Nov By TheGreenZoneNo Comments
Asia, China, Market, USA, World

The US-China tech battle has reached a “turning point” with Huawei’s latest smartphone.

Huawei is set to launch its latest smartphone this week, complete with a new, made-in-China operating system — a first for a Chinese company and an indication of the progress the country’s tech companies have made, despite US sanctions. Unlike previous Huawei phones, which used an operating system built on Google’s Android, the new Mate 70 smartphone will run entirely on the company’s own HarmonyOS Next. Huawei hopes the system will be able to compete with the dominant incumbents, Apple’s iOS and Android, which together power around 98% of all smartphones globally, The Economist noted. Building a fully independent operating system “is no mean feat,” The Economist noted, because it requires persuading enough developers to spend time creating apps specifically for the new system:...
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