Asia

The Indian economy is getting a huge boost!
Asia, World

The Indian economy is getting a huge boost!

Residential Real Estate demand has been picking up, which is evident in the rising count of new launches and sales of housing units. The office market recorded a weighted average lease term of 62 months in the last 14 months until February – higher than previous peaks of 59 months in 2018 and 2022. The rising tenure of lease transactions is indicative of the rising demand for India’s commercial real estate. Enforcement of regulatory initiatives like RERA (Real Estate (Regulation & Development) Act, 2016), rising per capita incomes, improving housing affordability bode well for the overall realty sector. Earlier, the structure of the real estate market in India was lopsided, with consumers having limited bargaining power, whereas large builders and developers had the upper hand. The...
The new GDP growth figures for India are “mystifying,” according to a former senior economic advisor.
Asia, World

The new GDP growth figures for India are “mystifying,” according to a former senior economic advisor.

The Centre’s latest figures on growth in the country’s gross domestic product don’t add up and are “mystifying”, former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian said on Friday. The government said on February 29 that the Indian economy grew by 8.4% during the third quarter of 2023-’24, or between October 1 and December 31. This was the strongest growth registered by the country since the second quarter of 2022. The government’s National Statistical Office, in its second advance estimate, also pegged the country's growth at 7.6% for the current financial year. However, Subramanian, at the India Today Conclave 2024, said that the implied inflation in these numbers is 1% to 1.5%, while the actual inflation is between 3% and 5%. “The economy is growing at 7.5% even though private...
India’s ‘glittering’ economy makes Modi’s chances of winning reelection clear.
Asia, World

India’s ‘glittering’ economy makes Modi’s chances of winning reelection clear.

NEW DELHI -- India's brisk economy has created a tail wind for Prime Minister Narendra Modi's reelection campaign, although some analysts caution that the reality might not be quite as rosy as the headline numbers suggest. The South Asian country's gross domestic product for the October to December quarter surprised most economists, growing by 8.4%. Most forecasters had predicted the economy would struggle to clear 7% for the quarter. Although India only reports figures for fiscal years, the reading resulted in a robust growth rate of about 7.7% for the calendar year. The GDP jump is part of a string of glowing reports on the Indian economy. "We expect India to be the fastest-growing economy among major G20 countries, with its real GDP growth to accelerate to around 8% in the fiscal...
Pakistan: In the midst of the nation’s economic crisis, President Asif Ali Zardari announces a salary waiver
Asia, World

Pakistan: In the midst of the nation’s economic crisis, President Asif Ali Zardari announces a salary waiver

Amid the economic crisis in Pakistan, President Asif Ali Zardari announced on Tuesday his decision to forgo his salary while in office, reported The Express Tribune. “In view of the prevailing economic challenges, President Zardari has decided that he will not draw his presidential salary. He took this decision to encourage prudent financial management in the country,” said a statement released by the President’s Secretariat. He has taken over as the head of the state for a historic second time, reported Dawn. Earlier, he served as President of Pakistan from 2008 to 2013. According to the Election Commission of Pakistan, Zardari got 411 electoral votes. He defeated his opponent and chief of the Pashtoonkhwa Milli Awami Party (PkMAP), Mehmood Khan Achakzai, who could only get 181 ...
Asia, World

China is not addressing its economic problems.

China’s National People’s Congress completed its 2024 session this week with nary a word about addressing the country’s most serious economic problems. The government did announce economic targets for the coming year and expounded upon its lofty pursuit of high-tech industrialization. But the week of meetings offered no real insight into how Chinese leader Xi Jinping intends to deal with a deepening property crisis, trillions of dollars of local government debt, falling prices, soaring youth unemployment, the loss of business and consumer confidence, and a rapidly aging society. For a government that takes pride in announcing reams of policy blueprints and diktats, the absence of any detail on how it plans to take on these interlocking issues left the inevitable conclusion that Beij...
Busting Myths About “Peak China”
Asia, World

Busting Myths About “Peak China”

A more nuanced look at China’s economic indicators is necessary to understand current trends. In recent years, there has been a notable shift among certain Western politicians, media outlets and think tanks regarding their perspective on China’s developmental trajectory. The once-popular theory of an imminent Chinese collapse, famously asserted by Gordon G. Chang over two decades ago, has finally begun to lose traction. But there is still a lingering reluctance to acknowledge China’s sustained ascent, prompting the emergence of a new buzzword: “Peak China.” As the second-largest GDP globally for 15 consecutive years, China’s economic landscape has naturally witnessed expansion alongside moderated growth rates, a phenomenon well-recognized in economic theory. In the context of China’...
Asia

Growing political and economic obstacles pose a danger to the region’s growth prospects in the next years.

Not since the Asian financial crisis has Southeast Asia had to contend with the combination of political and economic challenges that it now faces. Uncertainty in the major western markets and China are leading to currency weakness, anemic export growth and plunging commodity prices are hitting the region’s economies almost simultaneously, reducing growth expectations measurably for the next few years. In the meantime, politics is complicating the region’s ability – whether at the country or multilateral level – to respond quickly and cohesively to these emergent economic problems. Governments in Bangkok and Kuala Lumpur are distracted by domestic controversies that could turn into potential instability; a possibly disruptive political transition will take place in Manila next year; an...
Asia, World

“This is not the Asian financial crisis.”

KUALA LUMPUR: The weakening of the ringgit is not a true reflection of the state of the national economy and other macroeconomic conditions, says the Prime Minister. Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim said the current situation must be looked at comprehensively and based on the big picture, including the country’s capacity to grow and the reassuring investment figures. He said the national economy was in a much better position compared with during the Asian financial crisis in 1998. “Why should we look only in terms of the ringgit and compare it with 1998? In 1998, the ringgit fell, investments fell, inflation rose. “It is concerning but is not the same now. The latest (investment) figures announced by the National Investment Council meeting are the highest recorded. “Inflation conti...
February, India’s economy continues to grow rapidly
Asia, World

February, India’s economy continues to grow rapidly

The Indian economy, which expanded at a four-month high in January, continued to strengthen in February, seeing accelerations in both manufacturing and services sectors during the month. While services sector output climbed to a seven-month high in February, manufacturing sector output reached a five-month high, firming India’s position as one of the fastest-growing major economies. The HSBC Flash India Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), compiled by S&P Global, climbed to 61.5 in February from a revised reading of 61.2 for January—well above the 50-point threshold that differentiates expansion from contraction. The seasonally adjusted index measures month-on-month change in the combined output of India’s manufacturing and service sectors. “Growth improved in both ...
The economic decline in Bangladesh and the Rohingya crisis
Asia, World

The economic decline in Bangladesh and the Rohingya crisis

In August 2017, a deadly ethnic clearance operation, backed by the Myanmar military against the minority Rohingya (Muslim) population in Rakhine state, began the displacement of thousands of Rohingyas. By the end of 2017, around 745,000 people had fled to Cox’s Bazar, a district in southeast Bangladesh. Bangladesh, though not a signatory to the 1951 refugee convention, and despite being a country with a high population density, sheltered and welcomed these forcibly displaced Myanmar nationals on an ad hoc basis. By April 2019, more than 900,000 Rohingyas were living in coastal Bangladesh, and today about 90% of the Rohingya population lives in Bangladesh. With limited financial resources, Bangladesh, in collaboration with donor and global aid bodies, has worked hard to provide shelt...