USA

Wall Street jumps on signals US economy is doing just fine
USA

Wall Street jumps on signals US economy is doing just fine

Stocks rose on signals the main engine of the world’s largest economy remains solid, which bodes well for the strength of Corporate America. About 410 shares in the S&P 500 advanced after upbeat outlooks from industry heavyweights like Tesla Inc., Meta Platforms Inc. and International Business Machines Corp. Traders are now eagerly awaiting Apple Inc.’s results due after the closing bell. While the majority of companies have so far exceeded Wall Street’s expectations, disappointing forecasts have been met with selloffs, with Microsoft Corp. and United Parcel Service Inc. being the latest examples. The US economy expanded at a strong pace at the end of 2024, more than offsetting drags from a strike at Boeing Co. and much leaner inventory investment. Consumer spending, which compr...
Because Americans are still spending, the U.S. economy is still doing well.
USA

Because Americans are still spending, the U.S. economy is still doing well.

Consumer spending kept the U.S. economy humming in the final months of 2024. The nation's gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of 2.3% in October, November and December, according to a report from the Commerce Department Thursday. That's down slightly from the previous quarter when GDP grew at a 3.1% annual pace. Consumers ramped up their spending in the final months of the year, opening their wallets for both goods and services. Spending on big-ticket items jumped at an annual rate of more than 12%, which may have been driven partly by a desire to buy before any of the new tariffs threatened by President Trump kick in. "The consumer is driving the economic train," says Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. "The economy is creating a boatload of jobs and unem...
By 2024, the US economy will have grown its GDP by 2.3% due to consumer resilience.
USA

By 2024, the US economy will have grown its GDP by 2.3% due to consumer resilience.

The US economy expanded at a solid pace at the end of 2024, fueled by a generous tailwind from consumer spending that more than offset drags from a strike at Boeing Co. and much leaner inventory investment. Inflation-adjusted gross domestic product increased an annualized 2.3% in the fourth quarter after rising 3.1% in the prior three-month period, according to the government’s initial estimate published Thursday. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for a 2.6% growth. Consumer spending, which comprises the largest share of economic activity, advanced at a 4.2% pace — the first time since late 2021 that outlays have exceeded 3% in consecutive quarters. The acceleration was led by a pickup in motor vehicle sales. At the same time, a closely watched measur...
Rates Spark: The Trump administration is now a reality
USA

Rates Spark: The Trump administration is now a reality

Markets may have “bought” the rumour and will proceed to “sell” the fact now that Trump's inauguration is a done deal. Even if UST yields come down, we still see structurally higher US rates. On his first day of his second term as US President, Trump declared energy and border security emergencies, but has not enacted tariffs – yet. EUR rates reacted with mild relief, but the ECB will still tread cautiously Markets may "sell" the fact, but we still see structurally higher US rates With US President Donald Trump officially back in office, the question is whether markets bought the rumours but will sell the facts. The month leading up to Trump’s election in November also saw a significant rally in UST yields, but that move faded in the weeks thereafter. Similarly, rates ...
Singapore becomes a haven for companies and investors fleeing tensions between the US and China.
China, Market, Singapore, USA

Singapore becomes a haven for companies and investors fleeing tensions between the US and China.

Its reputation of political neutrality — and strength in life sciences — is making Singapore a favoured launchpad for western investors and Chinese startups. Two years ago, Polaris Partners, the investment arm of US pharmaceutical company Polaris, opened an office in Singapore as it started to ramp up investments in the Asian country. “Singapore has an extraordinary ecosystem,” says Amy Schulman, managing partner at Polaris Partners. “It has first rate science that gets a good amount of government support. It has terrific intellectual property protection, and it has organised rule of law system that makes things very appealing.” Singapore’s favourable tax system and English-speaking business community have also made it an ideal jumping off point for international companies se...
As tensions between the US and China increase, Malaysia links its fortunes to Singapore.
Asia, China, Singapore, USA

As tensions between the US and China increase, Malaysia links its fortunes to Singapore.

New special economic zone paves way for closer relations between one-time south-east Asian rivals As tensions ratchet up between two of Malaysia’s biggest trading partners, the US and China, the south-east Asian nation is increasingly looking to hitch its wagon to its more successful neighbour, Singapore. A special economic zone straddling the two countries — along with a raft of initiatives to build stronger ties — has been designed to help the pair withstand tougher global economic trading conditions. “We are entering a new era where global tensions are here to stay,” warned Singapore’s Prime Minister Lawrence Wong this month at the signing of an agreement to create the Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone. “The world is becoming a more dangerous and troubled place. This...
The Bigger Threats to China’s Economy
China, USA, World

The Bigger Threats to China’s Economy

China’s economy rebounded in the last quarter of 2024, achieving the government’s growth target of 5%, as announced by Beijing on Friday. China’s economy rebounded in the last quarter of 2024, achieving the government’s growth target of 5%, as announced by Beijing on Friday. However, this marks one of the slowest growth rates in decades, underscoring the challenges facing the world’s second-largest economy. Amid a prolonged property crisis, mounting local government debt, and persistent youth unemployment, China’s rebound remains fragile. The head of the country’s statistics bureau described China’s economic achievements as “hard won,” acknowledging the significant stimulus measures launched late last year. Historically, Beijing has been adept at meeting its growth targets, but exp...
Why it will be difficult for Europe to purchase more US gas
USA

Why it will be difficult for Europe to purchase more US gas

Donald Trump has threatened the EU with tariffs unless the bloc steps up LNG imports Donald Trump has threatened the EU with a trade war unless it buys more US oil and gas. But despite Brussels signalling openness to the idea, it has no power to buy — and European countries are importing record volumes of cheaper liquefied natural gas from Russia. The question of whether Europe can act as a bloc and buy more American fuel looms large over the transatlantic relationship after the US president-elect is inaugurated on Monday. “Large scale purchase of our oil and gas. Otherwise, it is TARIFFS all the way!!!” Trump posted on social media last month. Soon after his re-election European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen backed the idea: “Why not replace [Russian gas] by Ameri...
The flames in Los Angeles are predicted to be the most expensive in US history, with damages of about $50 billion.
USA, World

The flames in Los Angeles are predicted to be the most expensive in US history, with damages of about $50 billion.

The magnitude of these losses is likely to strain California's already fragile home-insurance market. The Los Angeles wildfires are expected to become the most costly in US history, with early damage estimates reaching nearly $50 billion, according to a The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) report. This figure, more than double the previous day’s estimate, includes over $20 billion in insured losses, with the potential for even higher costs if the fires continue to spread unchecked, said JPMorgan analyst Jimmy Bhullar.  Other projections, such as from ratings firm Morningstar DBRS, also place the financial impact among the nation’s most expensive disasters, with insured losses exceeding $8 billion. The final cost of insurance losses from the wildfires may vary significantly ...
Consumer confidence declines ahead of Trump’s inauguration, putting the US economy at risk of a recession.
Market, USA

Consumer confidence declines ahead of Trump’s inauguration, putting the US economy at risk of a recession.

The United States may be heading towards a significant recession, with consumer confidence rapidly declining ahead of Donald Trump’s upcoming inauguration. As the nation prepares for Trump’s second term as President following his decisive victory in the 2024 election, concerns over the economy are growing. His victory, which left little room for rival Kamala Harris, sets the stage for his inaugural celebration—but consumer sentiment is at a worrying low, with the Conference Board’s Expectations Index hitting a five-month low. Is the US Economy at Risk? The current state of the Expectations Index, which often signals the onset of a recession, has heightened fears that the US economy could be on the brink of a downturn. Consumer confidence plays a crucial role in both the stock market...