USA

Does the fate of the US economy now hinge on one company?
USA, World

Does the fate of the US economy now hinge on one company?

The entire stock market, and therefore the entire economy, depends on it maintaining pretty impossible growth metrics. As the price of almost everything has increased, and American workers’ wages have all but stalled, politicians like President Donald Trump have tried to ease our minds by telling us that the economy is “doing great” and that the stock market is booming. “Record high, record high, record high,” Trump said at an event earlier this month in Florida. Still, despite what has been a good year for the stock market, it’s hard to find a day in which a podcaster, influencer, or economist isn’t warning that the AI boom that’s powering the economy could be a bubble — one that is about to burst. The company that’s driving Wall Street’s positive movement is Nvidia, the mos...
Has the US Economy Become Dependent on AI Investment?
USA

Has the US Economy Become Dependent on AI Investment?

The US economy is relying on AI capex by Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta and Nvidia, as traditional sectors stagnate, risking recession if the boom ends AI has grown from a useful tool, to something driving economic growth. Investment in data centres and computing infrastructure now represent a huge portion of GDP in developed economies.  In the US, this dependence has reached a point where economists are questioning what happens if the boom ends. Recent volatility in AI stocks has exposed how tied the US economy has become to AI-related investment and wealth creation.  The numbers show that business investment in AI may have accounted for half of the growth in gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, during the first six months of this year...
An unusual trend in the economy is worrying the Fed
USA, World

An unusual trend in the economy is worrying the Fed

Something in the US economy isn’t adding up, and it’s rattling the people charged with wrangling inflation and keeping the labor market intact. US companies have sharply slowed their hiring this year, hesitant to invest without knowing the full effects of President Donald Trump’s sweeping economic policies. The economy lost jobs in June and August, and the average pace of job gains for the three months ending in September was only around 62,000, according to the Labor Department. Yet workers’ productivity, a key driver of economic output, remains high. And gross domestic product, which captures all the goods and services produced in the economy, has stayed robust. That dichotomy of an expanding economy and a softening labor market presents a conundrum for policymakers at...
Has Britain become an economic colony?
USA, World

Has Britain become an economic colony?

The UK could’ve been a true tech leader – but it has cheerfully submitted to US dominance in a way that may cost it dear Two and a half centuries ago, the American colonies launched a violent protest against British rule, triggered by parliament’s imposition of a monopoly on the sale of tea and the antics of a vainglorious king. Today, the tables have turned: it is Great Britain that finds itself at the mercy of major US tech firms – so huge and dominant that they constitute monopolies in their fields – as well as the whims of an erratic president. Yet, to the outside observer, Britain seems curiously at ease with this arrangement – at times even eager to subsidise its own economic dependence. Britain is hardly alone in submitting to the power of American firms, but it offers a cle...
Rupee to remain under pressure till India-US trade deal: Poll
USA

Rupee to remain under pressure till India-US trade deal: Poll

The Indian rupee is expected to remain under pressure until India signs a trade with the US, said economists and treasury heads in an FE poll. However, 75% believe that it may not breach 90 against the dollar in the next one month unless the Reserve Bank of India does not support the currency through interventions.  According to V R C Reddy, treasury head, Karur Vysya Bank, the 90 level will be protected for a few more weeks. He expects the positive trade deal outcome by December-end would drive the rupee to 88.20. “The sharp fall in the rupee was led by speculation on the trade deal. There has been constant depreciation pressure on the rupee due to capital outflows. Moreover, recent widening in the trade deficit due to gold imports has also increased de...
US economy adds 119,000 jobs in September as unemployment rate rises
USA, World

US economy adds 119,000 jobs in September as unemployment rate rises

United States job growth accelerated in September despite a cooling job market as the unemployment rate rose. Nonfarm payrolls grew by 119,000 jobs after a downwardly revised 4,000 drop in August, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report released on Thursday. The unemployment rate rose to 4.4 percent, up from 4.3 percent in August. The healthcare sector had the most gains, totalling 43,000 jobs in September. Food and beverage services sectors followed, adding 37,000 jobs, and social assistance employment grew by 14,000. Other sectors saw little change, including construction, wholesale trade, retail services, as well as professional and business services. The federal workforce saw a decline of 3,000, marking 97,000 jobs cut from the nation’s largest empl...
‘Yikes’: Top investment bank looks under the hood of the economy and finds ‘the labor market doesn’t look that good’
Market, USA

‘Yikes’: Top investment bank looks under the hood of the economy and finds ‘the labor market doesn’t look that good’

A leading investment bank has delivered an arresting diagnosis of the U.S. economy: the labor market, long a pillar of resilience, may be in real trouble. In their latest economic outlook, UBS economists led by Jonathan Pingle painted a picture of mounting weakness that extends well beyond headline job numbers, warning of a growing risk to households and the broader recovery. The latest “US Economics Weekly” note from the Swiss investment bank came with bated breath ahead of the impending end of the federal government shutdown. Economists and market-watchers have been deprived of federal economic data for over 40 days, something that former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner Erica Groshen likened to “flying blind” in late October. If the government does reopen, Pingle’s team s...
What tariffs has Trump announced and why?
USA

What tariffs has Trump announced and why?

US President Donald Trump has introduced tariffs on goods reaching it from countries around the world. Trump argues that the move will boost American manufacturing and create jobs, but critics warn of higher prices and damage to the global economy. The US Supreme Court is also considering whether the tariffs are illegal. What are tariffs and how do they work? Tariffs are taxes on imported goods. Typically, the charge is a percentage of a good's value. For example, a 10% tariff on a $10 product would mean a $1 tax on top - taking the total cost to $11 (£8.34). The tax is paid to the government by companies bringing in the foreign products. These firms may pass some or all of the extra cost on to their customers, which in this case means ordinary Americans and ot...
US airports hit by major delays from record-breaking government shutdown
USA

US airports hit by major delays from record-breaking government shutdown

Absences surge among US air traffic controllers, who have been working for more than a month without pay. Airports across the United States are experiencing major delays and cancellations due to an uptick in absences from air traffic controllers, who are under “immense stress and fatigue” from the ongoing, record-breaking US government shutdown, according to the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). More than 16,700 US flights were delayed and another 2,282 were cancelled over the weekend from Friday to Sunday, according to FlightAware, a US website that provides real-time flight tracking. The delays continued into Monday evening in the US, as FlightAware counted more than 4,000 delays and 600 cancellations across major airports, like Chicago O’Hare, Dallas Fort Worth, Denve...
China-US ties find ‘stable equilibrium’ but tech disruptions loom: financial leaders
China, USA, World

China-US ties find ‘stable equilibrium’ but tech disruptions loom: financial leaders

Global trade tensions, stoked by China-US tariffs, are settling into a steadier balance as the world braces for fresh challenges from rapid technological disruptions, financial leaders said on Tuesday at a summit in Hong Kong. The China-US relationship had entered into a more “stable equilibrium” after last week’s talks between the leaders of the world’s two biggest economies, despite the noise on the surface over tariffs and other trade disputes, said William Ford, chairman and CEO of US private equity firm General Atlantic, at the Global Financial Leaders’ Investment Summit. “Below the water line, there was actually a much more constructive engagement, as evidenced by [US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent] and some of the Chinese leaders in their five m...