Asia

Did Authoritarianism Cause China’s Economic Crisis?
Asia

Did Authoritarianism Cause China’s Economic Crisis?

China’s economy, the world’s second largest, is facing its most serious setback in a generation. During the past two years, economic growth appears to have been cut nearly in half. After emerging from the “zero covid” policies that Xi Jinping, China’s leader, ordered early in the pandemic, the country now faces a real-estate crisis and faltering confidence from both its own citizens and overseas businesses. The problems have sparked debate among economists about whether Xi’s increasingly autocratic regime is to blame, and what a major slowdown could mean for the rest of the world. To talk about China’s economy and the possible causes of its malaise, I recently spoke by phone with the economist Eswar Prasad: a professor at Cornell University and a senior fellow at the Brookings Institut...
Asia

How a Country’s Debt Crisis Can Affect Economies Around the World

Whether in the private sector or government, a debt crisis in one country can and frequently does spread economic pain to other countries. This can happen through a tightening of financial conditions such as a spike in interest rates, a slowdown in trade and economic growth, or merely a steep decline in consumer confidence. This is especially true if the country in crisis is large and intricately linked to the global economy. KEY TAKEAWAYSDebt crises in single nations can affect the economies and people of other countries.Countries can experience financial losses, market turmoil, and sharp slowdowns in trade and economic growth.Even in a small country, a debt crisis can have devastating effects elsewhere if that country is enmeshed in the global financial system and economy.The g...
Asia

China’s Property Market on the cusp of collapse?

China’s Evergrande Group, once China’s second-largest property developer has filed for bankruptcy in the US. Chapter 15 bankruptcy protection, allows a US bankruptcy court to step in when an insolvency case involves another country. It is intended to help promote cooperation between US courts, debtors, and other countries’ courts involved in cross-border bankruptcy proceedings. Evergrande, the beleaguered firm, borrowed heavily and defaulted on its debt in 2021, sparking a massive property crisis in China’s economy, which continues till date. The company’s bankruptcy serves as a cautionary lesson about ‘growth-at-all-costs’’ model that underpinned China’s spectacular growth in the past three decades. The company’s default came after Beijing began cracking down, two years ago, on...
Asia is affected by the recession in China’s economy.
Asia, China, World

Asia is affected by the recession in China’s economy.

China’s slowing growth is sparking warnings of contagion in Asia, as waning consumer demand and slower manufacturing hit neighbouring countries with close ties to the world’s second-largest economy. A manufacturing slump in South Korea has extended to its longest in nearly half a century while other big exporters in east Asia area also being hit by slow demand. South Korea, Asia’s fourth-biggest economy, is viewed as a bellwether for the region’s technology supply chain, which has helped underpin global growth for decades. The country’s exports fell in July at the steepest pace in more than three years, led by smaller shipments of computer chips to China, while purchasing managers’ indices on Friday showed that factory activity fell in August for the 14th consecutive month, the l...
China halts release of youth unemployment data amid faltering economy
Asia, China

China halts release of youth unemployment data amid faltering economy

After the number of its unemployed youth went on increasing for six consecutive months, the Chinese government suspended the release of unemployment data in August. The share of unemployed people between 16 and 24 years of age in urban areas rose every month of 2023, reaching a whopping 21.3 percent in June. This is the highest recorded figure since the data was first published in 2018. No timeline has been announced for the suspension. Explaining the move, Fu Linghui, a National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) spokesman, said the surveys used to collect the data needed to be improved and optimised. There is also a debate about whether students seeking employment before graduation should be included in labour force surveys and statistics. Many, however, opine that these are just excuses and...
Asia

Is China’s economy a ‘ticking time bomb’?

The past six months has brought a stream of bad news for China's economy: slow growth, record youth unemployment, low foreign investment, weak exports and currency, and a property sector in crisis. US President Joe Biden described the world's second-largest economy as "a ticking time bomb", predicting growing discontent in the country. China's leader Xi Jinping hit back, defending the "strong resilience, tremendous potential and great vitality" of the economy. So who is right - Mr Biden or Mr Xi? As is often the case, the answer probably lies somewhere in between. ADVERTISEMENT While the economy is unlikely to implode any time soon, China faces huge, deep-rooted challenges. A property crisis and poorer households Central to China's economic problems is its property ma...
The Fall of China Evergrande and the Career of Hui Ka Yan
Asia

The Fall of China Evergrande and the Career of Hui Ka Yan

Hui Ka Yan has had one of the most amazing careers in modern Chinese history, and his life is the stuff of legends. The huge boom in China's real estate market has burst, though, and the good times are gone. Hui, a former worker in the steel industry who hails from a small town, rose to become the wealthiest man in China by amassing a massive real estate empire. Borrowing money to purchase property, selling houses there before construction began, and using the proceeds to pay back his loan providers and fund future real estate ventures was his first strategy. Beginning in the mid-1990s and continuing for the next two decades as property prices in China skyrocketed, this strategy generated massive profits. This resulted in massive wealth and power for Hui. Evergrande's debt caused...
ASIA MORNING BID China PMIs cap off a rough month
Asia

ASIA MORNING BID China PMIs cap off a rough month

Financial markets journalist Jamie McGeever previews the day ahead in Asian markets. On Thursday, a slew of important economic statistics from Asia will be released, including the latest official Chinese purchasing managers index surveys, which might have a major impact on the course of the region's markets in the next week. Markets, particularly currencies, might be influenced by data such as India's GDP for the second quarter, Japan's retail sales and industrial output, Hong Kong's retail sales, Australia's credit, and South Korea's industrial production. After another 'risk on' day on Wednesday, regional markets are expected to begin higher on Thursday. Futures markets are no longer expecting a quarter-point raise before the end of the year as a result of downwardly revised U.S. ...
To attract top personnel, Asian financial centers might benefit from expanding LGBTQ rights.
Asia

To attract top personnel, Asian financial centers might benefit from expanding LGBTQ rights.

The five-judge panel of Hong Kong's top court is now debating whether or not to accept international same-sex marriages. Their verdict, anticipated later this year, may encourage Asian financial centres like Tokyo and Singapore to write more inclusive rules to attract the varied, global talent that banks and tech companies are eager to acquire and keep. The contributions of corporations are enormous. According to Janet Ledger, CEO of Community Business, a non-profit group that promotes diversity and inclusion in enterprises throughout Asia, "they still drive the conversation in a lot of these countries where the legislators aren't." In Asia, where traditional values still dominate politics and culture, same-sex partnerships are legal only in Taiwan and Nepal. However, some nat...
China’s Chip Rally Ignited by 5G Speculation Regarding New Huawei Phone
Asia

China’s Chip Rally Ignited by 5G Speculation Regarding New Huawei Phone

On Wednesday, the Chinese semiconductor industry gained almost 2.5% on speculation that Huawei's recently released Mate 60 Pro smartphone may have a 5G ready processor. If confirmed, the announcement of a domestically produced 5G chip would be good news for China's domestic semiconductor industry, which has enjoyed stock market gains of almost 8% so far this week. Without any fanfare or publicity, Huawei quietly started selling the Mate 60 Pro at lunchtime today for 6,999 yuan ($960).Huawei employees and shop clerks in Beijing and Shenzhen also reported being taken aback. The Mate 60 was touted as having the capability of making satellite calls, however the specs gave no indication of the strength of the chipset within. However, customers who were able to get their hands on th...