Asia

Would China’s latest stimulus be sufficient to boost its economy?
Asia, China, Market

Would China’s latest stimulus be sufficient to boost its economy?

In September, China’s central bank announced its most aggressive measures since the pandemic to get its economy back on track after it became clear the country might miss its 5 percent gross domestic product (GDP) growth target for 2024. The world’s second-largest economy is still struggling from the lingering side-effects of COVID-19 – when China implemented some of the longest and harshest lockdowns – to the collapse of its property sector in 2021, and deeper societal changes like a falling birthrate and ageing population. Beijing has so far avoided the kind of 4 trillion RMB ($586bn) stimulus it used in 2008 following the global financial crisis, but its latest moves have been met with a positive response from investors. Observers, however, wonder whether it will be enough. Wh...
Asia, Market, World

Due to unfavorable global signals, shares may begin the day down.

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 1,748.71 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 1,654.96 crore in the Indian equity market on 15 October 2024, provisional data showed. According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth over Rs 70303.50 crore (so far) in the secondary market during October 2024. This follows their purchase of shares worth Rs 46,552.40 crore in September 2024. Most Asian stocks declined on Wednesday, primarily due to a weak outlook from ASML, a leading chipmaker. Cooling optimism about Chinese stimulus measures also contributed to the market's downturn. Regional markets followed Wall Street's lead, where a drop in chipmaking stocks pulled U.S. benchmarks from record highs. At the close in NYSE...
Can China’s lethargic economy be revived by the massive stimulus spending the government is planning?
Asia, China, Market

Can China’s lethargic economy be revived by the massive stimulus spending the government is planning?

China’s relentless economic growth used to be the marvel of the world. Oh, what a memory. The past couple of years have seen China contend with an economic slowdown amid colliding crises, many of which make it internationally unique. Consumer prices have been approaching deflationary territory, there’s an oversupply of housing, and youth unemployment has soared. Mounting pressure has forced the Chinese government to step in. Over the past month, Beijing has put forward a set of significant economic stimulus measures aimed at reviving China’s faltering economy. According to a research note by Deutsche Bank, this stimulus could potentially become “the largest in history” in nominal terms. But there’s still a lot we don’t know. So what kinds of measures that are ...
Asia, China, Market, World

Goldman Sachs upgraded their predictions for China’s economic expansion.

Analysts expect China's GDP to grow by 4.9% in 2024 Goldman Sachs has improved its forecasts for China’s economic growth in 2024 and 2025, Bloomberg  The forecast has been improved on the back of Beijing’s unveiling of a number of stimulus measures, including recent plans to increase government spending. Goldman Sachs expects China’s GDP to grow by 4.9% this year, up from 4.7% previously forecast. According to a new research note, the investment bank also raised its forecast for Chinese economic growth in 2025 to 4.7% (previously 4.3%). On October 12, China promised to “significantly increase” debt issuance to revive its economy, Reuters writes, but left investors guessing about the total amount of the stimulus package. Finance Minister Lan Foan said: Beijing will help...
Asia, China, Market

The pendulum of Chinese economic policy has swung in favor of stimulus, but moderate expectations are advised.

Policymakers in Beijing have spent the past three weeks trying to convince the world that they are determined to deliver meaningful support to China’s sagging economy.  Since late September statements have come from the central bank, which promised to cut interest rates, release liquidity, and provide funding to securities firms; from the politburo, which said it wanted to stabilize the real estate market, boost the capital market and shift towards looser fiscal and monetary policy; from the government’s main planning body, which promised a package of policies to support domestic demand; and from the finance minister himself, who at the weekend committed to issue more debt to recapitalize banks, support local governments and aid unhappy consumers. Though details have been scant...
China’s stimulus plan targets its largest debt wall.
Asia, China

China’s stimulus plan targets its largest debt wall.

Chinese policymakers trying to fire up growth in the world’s second-largest economy appear intent on smashing through a wall of debt, opens new tab that poses a systemic financial risk and on not repeating past mistakes in delivering fiscal stimulus. That is some consolation for the fact that Beijing, so far, has mapped out only half of a plan. At a highly anticipated press conference on Saturday, the Ministry of Finance signaled it is ready to significantly boost spending but it declined to say by how much. The lack of a concrete number will disappoint those looking for quick fixes; Chinese benchmark stock indices including the Hang Seng (.HSI), opens new tab opened largely unmoved on Monday. To spur consumption, economists reckon the People’s Republic may need to spend up to 10 trill...
Asia, China, Market, World

India starts to reconcile its economic ambitions with security fears about China.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government tightened scrutiny of foreign direct investment amid security concerns during the COVID-19 pandemic, largely curtailing China's economic influence. But as India aspires to become the world's third-largest economy by 2029 and a developed nation by 2047, it must grapple with balancing economic ambitions with security concerns and is beginning to cautiously accept Chinese investments in sectors such as electronics manufacturing to boost local production capabilities. Since first assuming office in 2014, Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government has aimed to increase the share of manufacturing in India’s GDP. In 2014, the government launched the Make-in-India campaign, which pushed for more manufacturing and invited foreign direct ...
As the world’s oil supply surges, Pakistan’s gasoline situation worsens and another price increase is imminent: Report
Asia

As the world’s oil supply surges, Pakistan’s gasoline situation worsens and another price increase is imminent: Report

Pakistan is gearing up for another fuel price hike as the nation grapples with severe economic challenges. The impending rise in petrol and diesel prices comes in the wake of escalating global crude oil rates, as reported by The Tribune. The increase in petroleum prices is primarily driven by the soaring international market rates, exacerbated by the ongoing crisis in the Middle East. Pakistan’s reliance on imported oil, coupled with rampant smuggling and illegal trade, has left the country vulnerable, with limited control over its energy security, the report added. Over the past two weeks, international prices for petrol have surged by about $2.80 per barrel, while high-speed diesel (HSD) prices have spiked by approximately $7 per barrel, according to The Tribune. In response, t...
Here are four factors that make the cash-strapped economy of Pakistan the subject of international attention.
Asia, Market

Here are four factors that make the cash-strapped economy of Pakistan the subject of international attention.

Pakistan's economic crisis deepens as the International Monetary Fund (IMF), a global financial agency, eyes implementing policy reforms in the South-Asian nation. This is the latest development in Pakistan's economic crisis row as the nation tries to borrow its way out of its debt situation. IMF's row with Pakistan to improve its economic situation has been spread over several events. The nation aims to reduce expenditures, increase the tax-to-GDP ratio, tax non-traditional sectors like agriculture and real estate, limit subsidies, and transfer some fiscal responsibilities to provinces. The news agency PTI reported on Saturday, October 12, quoting a local news portal, The News International. It said that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has focuse...
Asia, Market, World

According to the World Bank, implementing reforms is still essential for sustained economic recovery and poverty reduction.

Pakistan’s economy has continued to stabilize from the recent economic crisis, with growth recovering to 2.5 percent in the fiscal year ending June 2024, says the World Bank in its latest country economic update. Released today, the Pakistan Development Update: The Dynamics of Power Sector Distribution Reform, finds that following recession in FY23, economic activity strengthened in FY24 reflecting strong agricultural output, lower inflation, prudent macroeconomic measures, and reduced political uncertainty. But this level of growth is not sufficient to bring down poverty rates, which increased from 40.2 percent in FY23 to 40.5 percent in FY24. “Pakistan’s stabilizing economy is on a path of recovery. To sustain and strengthen that positive momentum, steady implementa...