Asia

Asia, Market, World

Pakistan’s battle to attract Gulf investments in the face of economic downturns

Pakistan is seeking investments from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to mitigate its ongoing financial crisis. But attracting this critical Gulf capital requires substantial improvements in Pakistan's investment climate. Successful investment attraction will depends on presenting well-structured projects that promise sustainable growth. The government must also avoid over incentivising foreign investors at the expense of local industries, as this could lead to market imbalances and long-term economic liabilities. Pakistan’s economic situation is teetering on the brink as the country is facing a perilous financial crisis, scrambling to secure external financing to meet growing obligations. The country has received only temporary relief from a US$7 billion staff-level agre...
Asia, Market, World

The IMF projects 3.2 percent economic growth and 9.5 percent inflation for the nation.

ISLAMABAD: The Interna­tional Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecast Pakistan’s economy to grow by 3.2 per cent during the current fiscal year, falling short of the government’s budget target but surpassing projections by two other leading multilateral organisations. This growth rate is expected to be accompanied by a single-digit inflation rate of 9.5pc and a current account deficit nearing 1pc. In its World Economic Outlook (WEO-October 2024) released on Tuesday, the IMF also estimated global economic growth to stabilise at 3.2pc after “winning the battle against inflation”, despite ongoing risks related to regional conflicts, a slowdown in China, and the lasting effects of tight monetary policies and financial market volatility. The IMF, which recently approved a $7 billio...
Asia, Market, World

The global economy requires a triple pivot in policy as inflation declines.

Let’s start with the good news: it looks like the global battle against inflation has largely been won, even if price pressures persist in some countries. After peaking at 9.4 percent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2022, we now project headline inflation will fall to 3.5 percent by the end of next year, slightly below the average during the two decades before the pandemic. In most countries, inflation is now hovering close to central bank targets, paving the way for monetary easing across major central banks. The global economy remained unusually resilient throughout the disinflationary process. Growth is projected to hold steady at 3.2 percent in 2024 and 2025, but some low-income and developing economies have seen sizable downside growth revisions, often tied to intensifying co...
Shaoguan’s vacant apartments, a representation of China’s real estate crisis
Asia, China

Shaoguan’s vacant apartments, a representation of China’s real estate crisis

You have to arrive at night in Shaoguan, a city of 3.3 million people in southeast China, to measure the real estate crisis that has hit the country. Around the high-speed train station, inaugurated in 2019, tower blocks of buildings have sprung up like mushrooms in recent years, creating a gigantic neighborhood. But when night falls, not a single light is on. That’s because Shaoguan is drowning in empty and unsold apartments. At the current sales pace, it will take more than 10 years to sell this stock, compared to an average of two years in China, according to estimates by the China Real Estate Information Corporation. This is a record in the country, which has 28,000 billion yuan ($3.96 billion) worth of available apartments, according to Barclays. “There are so many...
The worldwide market is being revolutionized by China’s electric car sector.
Asia, China, Market, World

The worldwide market is being revolutionized by China’s electric car sector.

The global electric vehicle market has become a critical component in the transition towards a low-carbon future. At the forefront of this revolution is China, whose rapid ascent in the EV industry has left global automakers scrambling to keep pace. Despite trade tensions and tariffs aimed at curbing its dominance, China remains the undisputed leader in the sector, producing more than 60% of the world’s EVs. China’s success in the electric vehicle industry can be traced back to a combination of forward-thinking policies, substantial investments, and a national commitment to innovation. The story begins with a strategic proposal made by Wan Gang, often referred to as the father of the EV movement in China. His vision, presented to the Chinese State Council in 2000, emphasised the need f...
The TSF Group provides a comprehensive range of products for international markets.
Asia, Market, World

The TSF Group provides a comprehensive range of products for international markets.

The TSF Group, one of the largest automotive groups based in India is gearing up to produce exhaustive range of brakes, axles and wheels for the domestic and global trailer market. As a renowned Tier-1 supplier to global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) for over 60 years, the group strongly focuses on design, development, world-class quality, competitive cost and superior customer centricity. Brakes India, a leading supplier of braking systems, recently showcased its 22.5-inch light weight monobloc Single Piston Air Disk Brake. The product is designed to cater to truck, bus and trailer applications. It is targeted towards both domestic and exports trailer markets. It meets the FMVSS 121 regulations for North America, said a company official. Key features of the product inc...
Trump says if China assaults Taiwan, he would impose heavy tariffs.
Asia, China, USA, World

Trump says if China assaults Taiwan, he would impose heavy tariffs.

US Republican presidential candidate and former US President Donald Trump said he would impose additional tariffs at “150% to 200%” on China if it were to "go into Taiwan," the Wall Street Journal reported Friday (Oct. 18). When asked whether he would use military force in response to a potential Chinese blockade of Taiwan, Trump said it wouldn’t be necessary because Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) respects him. “I wouldn’t have to, because he respects me and he knows I’m f— crazy,” Trump stated. During his presidency from 2017 to 2021, Trump took an aggressive stance on China. He imposed multiple rounds of tariffs that triggered a trade war and affected the global economy, according to Reuters. Trump also addressed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in the interview,...
Everyone is affected by China’s economic slowdown; it’s not just a personal issue.
Asia, China, Market, World

Everyone is affected by China’s economic slowdown; it’s not just a personal issue.

Issues in a country can have a rippling effect felt by its neighbours and countries far across the globe. The reason behind this is globalisation, which doubtless, has its benefits but has also increased the linkage and dependencies between countries.  For example, Sri Lanka’s economic turmoil, which began in 2019, negatively impacted the businesses of Indian companies such as Reliance, Ashok Leyland and Tata Motors, but also opened more doors for India in the tea market. Because of the crisis, Sri Lanka’s primary tea exports fell significantly, and India took this opportunity to fill this gap in the global market.  Similarly, China’s economic slowdown is causing shock waves not only in the country but also across the global economy. Here’s a detailed picture.  Why...
Asia, China, Market

An Overview of the Chinese Economy, October 2024

China’s economy expanded by 4.6% yoy in Q3 2024 – broadly in line with our expectations – marginally slower than at 4.7% yoy growth recorded in Q2. We have argued for some time that the full year target of “around 5%” would be difficult to reach – indeed it would take a sizeable acceleration in activity in Q4, something we consider unlikely given the lack of meaningful fiscal stimulus to date. Should such a program occur following the National People’s Congress in late October, it likely implies more upside risk to our 2025 forecasts than 2024. Our growth forecasts are unchanged – we see an increase of 4.7% yoy in 2024, before easing to 4.6% in 2025, with the property sector and weak domestic demand remaining headwinds to growth Growth in China’s industrial production was slightly str...
Asia, China, Market

The economic slump in China gets worse.

China's economy expanded in the third quarter at the slowest pace since early last year, as the country struggles to boost flagging growth. On an annual basis, gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 4.6% in the three months to the end of September,according to China's National Bureau of Statistics. That is less than the previous quarter and below the government's "around 5%" target for this year. But it was slightly better than analysts expected, while other official figures released on Friday, including retail sales and factory output, also beat forecasts. In recent weeks, Beijing has announced a number of measures aimed at supporting growth. This is the second quarter in a row that China's official measure of economic growth has fallen below the 5% target, which will add to...