China

Hong Kong Dollar Amid ‘Asian Financial Crisis In Reverse’
Asia, China

Hong Kong Dollar Amid ‘Asian Financial Crisis In Reverse’

The recent weakness in USD triggered the so-called “Asian Financial Crisis in reverse.” Taiwan dollar notably surged 10% against the USD amid worries that the Taiwanese government might have to agree to currency depreciation as part of trade negotiations with the US. The sudden shift in capital allocation also flooded the Hong Kong financial system, prompting the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) to intervene in the foreign exchange market. The de facto central bank had to sell HKD to maintain its linked exchange rate system with the USD. How Linked Exchange Rate System works? HKMA has to acquire USD from the market whenever the HKD exchange rate is “too strong” - i.e., when it is stronger than HKMA’s trading limit of HKD 7.75 per USD - under its linked exchange rate. ...
BYD Dealerships Failing Show Financial Pain in China Car Sector
China

BYD Dealerships Failing Show Financial Pain in China Car Sector

Car dealership groups in two provinces have gone out of business since last month in China, both of them BYD Co. retailers, evidence of the tough competition in the nation’s auto market and proof that not even selling the country’s No. 1 brand can shield businesses from financial difficulties. Car dealership groups in two provinces have gone out of business since last month in China, both of them BYD Co. retailers, evidence of the tough competition in the nation’s auto market and proof that not even selling the country’s No. 1 brand can shield businesses from financial difficulties. Xingqi Group outlets in Liaoning province have stopped delivering new cars or providing service for more than 60 customers, according to Liaoning Radio and Television Station, while more than 500 peo...
China

Trump’s China trade breakthrough might be enough to avoid self-inflicted recession

President Donald Trump marched the US economy to the brink of a self-inflicted recession and a potential supply chain meltdown. But at the last moment, Trump decided to pull back. The US-China breakthrough unveiled Monday calls for a 90-day thaw in the trade war by slashing tariffs from suffocatingly high levels as trade was paralyzed between the world’s two biggest economies. The dramatic drop in US-China tariffs is an undeniable positive compared to just a few days ago. The breakthrough has already set off an epic party on Wall Street and is raising hopes that a tariff-driven nightmare can be avoided. Yet economists say it’s still too early to declare the US economy is out of danger altogether. Recession risks remain, even if the odds o...
<strong>WHY USA’s TARIFFS ON CHINA MAKE SENSE?</strong>
China, USA, World

WHY USA’s TARIFFS ON CHINA MAKE SENSE?

China’s economic ascent has been propelled not by a level playing field but by comprehensive state intervention that skews markets in favor of domestic champions. In April 2025, data from China’s General Administration of Customs revealed a 21 percent year-on-year drop in Chinese exports to the United States—an abrupt decline directly linked to U.S. tariffs soaring as high as 145 percent—while Beijing sought to reroute shipments to other global markets. The United States Trade Representative’s 2024 Report to Congress documents China’s chronic non-compliance with WTO obligations, highlighting opaque procurement rules, forced technology transfers, and hidden subsidies to state-owned enterprises that produce goods at below-cost prices to undercut foreign competitors. These tactics inflat...
The arc of ascent of China’s financial system
China

The arc of ascent of China’s financial system

Reform, global reach and financial stability statecraft Amid developing tensions, the International Monetary Fund’s 2025 Financial Sector Stability Assessment for China arrives at a pivotal juncture. More than a domestic stocktake, it reflects the structural transformation of China’s financial system, marked by increased complexity, persistent contradictions and a steadily expanding global footprint – much of which is mediated by Chinese financial institutions. This year’s assessment invites further scrutiny of the system’s evolving resilience and policy trade-offs. Having contributed to China’s inaugural Financial Sector Assessment Program in 2010, which played a key role in helping China embark on financial reforms in the following years, I recall one main thing...
Ditchley conference report: A European path to higher economic growth
China

Ditchley conference report: A European path to higher economic growth

The European economy grew at around 2 to 3 per cent a year throughout the 1990s and early 2000s. But growth has never fully recovered from the 2008 financial crisis. While Europe continues to rank highly on broader measures of wellbeing, its meagre growth has fallen well behind that of the US. Europe also faces considerable economic headwinds. China is ramping up exports of goods such as cars and machinery, threatening a pillar of the European economy. Europe also lags behind China and the US in technology creation and diffusion, just as a potential artificial intelligence (AI) revolution might unlock new productivity gains. European policy-makers are making trade conditional on other policy aims, like combatting climate change, trying to make supply chains in important goods less dep...
China

China’s Economy at a Glance

Tariff pause gives China’s economy some breathing space, but longer-term uncertainty persists Overview Following the trade talks in May, the US and China agreed to a 90 day pause to the extreme bilateral tariffs each country imposed in April. While there remains uncertainty around the longer-term trade relationship, this agreement is sufficient to wind back some of last month’s downward revision to China’s economic outlook. We now see China growing by 4.3% in 2025 and 4.0% in 2026 (from our previous forecast of 4.1% and 3.9% respectively). That said, even following the pause, trade barriers remain substantially above the norm for the past century, and this means this revised forecast remains weaker than where we saw China’s growth potential in March. China’s industrial productio...
China’s deflationary trap: Can Beijing fix its broken economic model?
China

China’s deflationary trap: Can Beijing fix its broken economic model?

Trump’s tariffs intensify China’s deflation crisis, exposing structural flaws. Real solutions demand wage growth, affordable housing, stronger safety nets and fairer wealth distribution. This pressure may finally force the economic overhaul China needs to escape the “middle-income trap” illusion. Economist Chen Kang looks at the issue. US President Donald Trump’s so-called global “reciprocal tariffs” have severely impacted the system of global trade, disrupted global value and supply chains, and damaged the world economy. In view of this, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently lowered its forecast for global economic growth in 2025 from 3.3% to 2.8%. Trump’s tariffs hurt others without any gain for the US. Across-the-board tariff increases have created a supply shock for...
<strong>How China is dismantling luxury brand market</strong>
China, Market

How China is dismantling luxury brand market

Some Chinese factories and its workers have recently uploaded few videos online claiming that 80% of the global luxury brands are developed in-house in China with “Made in Italy” and “Made in France” labels. China is misusing its social media platforms to create a sense of doubt in the mind of the global buyers regarding the authenticity of luxury brands such as Gucci, Prada, Louis Vuitton, Hermes and etc. and by doing so they are quietly dismantling the luxury brand market. For example, as per few videos by TikTok user ‘senbags2’ a Chinese worker claims that they are the Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) of luxury handbags from Gucci, Prada, and Louis Vuitton while boasting about its craftsmanship and supply chain. Many such ‘misleading’ short videos are doing round in the social...
<strong>China’s Economic Brinkmanship:  China’s Stock Market Pays the Price</strong>
China, Market

China’s Economic Brinkmanship:  China’s Stock Market Pays the Price

China is feeling the heat from the tariff war, yet Xi Jinping remains unwilling to act first. The nation’s stock market is reeling, and the Communist Party’s rigid stance risks deepening the economic downturn. Early stimulus efforts offered little relief, and Beijing hesitates to roll out new measures, betting that Washington will yield. But as global markets tremble and political tensions rise, the stakes grow higher. Will China hold its ground, gambling on resilience, or accept that compromise is necessary? The CCP’s unwavering approach could come at a steep cost—financial instability. The world watches as Beijing weighs its next move. On April 28th, China’s stock market endured a significant downturn, amplifying concerns about economic instability. The Shanghai Composite Index s...