China

The economic implications of a speech that has been suppressed in China
China, Market

The economic implications of a speech that has been suppressed in China

At this time of year, many policymakers want to know how fast their economies will grow in the year ahead. China’s leaders set themselves a still tougher question: how fast their economy “should” grow. They are seeking not a forecast but a target. A boy poses with a Chinese national flag in front of Tiananmen Square in Beijing.. (Reuters)A boy poses with a Chinese national flag in front of Tiananmen Square in Beijing.. (Reuters)The Central Economic Work Conference will conclude as The Economist goes to press. At the event, Communist Party officials will have debated whether to stick with this year’s growth target of “around 5%”. Their answer, which is not usually revealed until March, will guide fiscal and monetary policymaking in the year ahead, as well as the borrowing and spending p...
China is now behind the rest of Asia in GDP growth.
China, Market

China is now behind the rest of Asia in GDP growth.

China’s GDP Growth is Now Lagging the Rest of AsiaThis was originally posted on our Voronoi app. Download the app for free on iOS or Android and discover incredible data-driven charts from a variety of trusted sources. China’s economy is facing a series of significant challenges, including a property crisis and high youth unemployment. After decades of rapid growth, the country is now expected to experience less economic growth than other Asian nations. This graphic illustrates the projected growth of per-capita GDP for selected Asian nations between 2023 and 2026, based on data compiled by HSBC as of November 2024. Chinese Economy LaggingIndia and Southeast Asian nations are projected to achieve an average per-capita GDP growth of 6.5% over the 2023–2026 period. Most of these...
What is the outlook for the Chinese economy in 2025?
China, Market

What is the outlook for the Chinese economy in 2025?

China’s gross domestic product growth slowed during the first three quarters of 2024, from 5.3% to 4.7% to 4.6%, raising fears that the country would not achieve its annual growth target of around 5%. But the latest data suggest that China’s economy is finally turning the corner.Economic activity in China has been relatively weak since the COVID-19 crisis. This was not unexpected, at least not at first: three years of pandemic lockdowns strained household, corporate and local-government balance sheets. Declining business confidence — partly a response to a regulatory crackdown on finance, the property sector and the platform economy — did not help matters. In early 2021, when the United States emerged from the worst of its pandemic lockdowns, American households quickly began spending ...
The Reasons Behind the Decline in Younger Generation Home Purchases in China’s Real Estate Crisis
China, Market

The Reasons Behind the Decline in Younger Generation Home Purchases in China’s Real Estate Crisis

Go to college, find a job, buy a house, get married: For decades, homeownership has been seen as an essential part of life in China. Based on that long-standing truth, analysts are forecasting optimistic outcomes for China’s housing market. However, all this may come to an end if China’s younger generation ceases to acquire residential properties. From 2010 to 2020, the proportion of Chinese adults aged 25 to 34 who own homes fell from over 70 percent to 50 percent, with major cities seeing nearly 30 percent of young adults renting their homes, compared to just 11 percent of those aged 45 to 54 This change has been years in the making. Between skyrocketing home prices, the housing market debt default crisis, and a shifting culture, China’s younger generation is facing a vastly diffe...
Jidu Auto’s shutdown signals trouble in China’s EV market
China, Market

Jidu Auto’s shutdown signals trouble in China’s EV market

Jidu Auto, a rising star in the Electric Vehicle (EV) sector, grabbed headlines just a few months ago with the launch of its second model. However, the company abruptly announced massive layoffs and the closure of its operations this week, stirring concerns about an impending shakeout in China's EV industry. "It's over. Don't watch anymore; we're shutting down. Just leave. Yes, our car company has gone bankrupt. It happened today. Leave quickly," declared a Jidu Auto live stream host tearfully, highlighting the shock and devastation among the employees.  On December 13th, BYD and Geely released a joint statement revealing that Jidu Auto would undergo layoffs and cease operations. The statement cited "tremendous changes" in the industry's competitive landscape, making the curre...
Challenges in China’s expanded pension program
China

Challenges in China’s expanded pension program

China’s expansion of its private pension fund pilot program is a significant step toward addressing the country’s looming retirement payout strains. The program, which was rolled out in 36 cities since 2022, allows workers to contribute up to 12,000 yuan ($1,650) to tax-sheltered accounts similar to Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs) in the US. This initiative is a part of China’s broader pension reform aimed at managing the financial demands of a rapidly aging population, with over 400 million people expected to be 60 or older by 2035.  However, the program has encountered several challenges. Disappointing fund performance and a lack of investor interest are among the primary issues. Despite the initial excitement among global money managers, including BlackRock Inc., and ...
Africa’s trade deficit with China continues to widen
China, World

Africa’s trade deficit with China continues to widen

African countries suffer from the trade deficit with China, which has continued to swell. In 2023, the exports from China were in surplus by USD 63 billion, while the trade deficit in 2022 was USD 49 billion. In 2021, the trade deficit was USD 39 billion. These figures showed the gap between the exports between China and Africa has increased at a high rate. Since China implemented the Belt Road Initiative, its trade with African countries has increased but it did not benefit the latter. In 2023, the overall trade grew by 1.5 percent year-on-year. However, African exports to China showed a decrease of 6.7 percent to USD 109 billion. On the other hand, Chinese exports to the continent grew by 7.5 percent USD 173 billion. China has taken full advantage of the African Continental Fr...
As Beijing’s stimulus promises seem to fall short of expectations, China equities lead Asia’s losses.
China, Market

As Beijing’s stimulus promises seem to fall short of expectations, China equities lead Asia’s losses.

China stocks led losses in Asia Friday as Beijing’s affirmation of its recent policy shifts and plans to boost growth, following a high-profile meeting Thursday, appeared to have fallen short of investors’ expectations. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index fell 1.83% in its final hour of trade, while mainland China’s CSI 300 lost 2.37% and ended at 3,933.18. Most other Asia-Pacific markets also fell, tracking Wall Street declines following a hotter-than-expected producer price inflation reading. The outlier was South Korea’s Kospi, which gained 0.5% to close at 2,494.46, marking a four day winning streak, while the small-cap Kosdaq rose 1.52% to 693.73, also notching four straight winning days. Internet firm Kakao gained over 5%, with many of its subsidiaries seeing huge gains. Shares ...
As investors anticipate a crucial policy meeting in China, Asia-Pacific markets close mixed.
Asia, China, Market

As investors anticipate a crucial policy meeting in China, Asia-Pacific markets close mixed.

Asia-Pacific markets were mixed Wednesday, after major Wall Street benchmarks declined ahead of key inflation data that could influence the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. China is reportedly kicking off its annual economic work conference on Wednesday to outline its economic policies and growth targets for next year. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index reversed gains to trade 0.76% lower as of its final hour, while mainland China’s CSI 300 index was 0.17% down and closed at 3,988.83. In South Korea, the blue-chip Kospijumped 1.02% and finished at 2,442.51 and the small-cap Kosdaq rose 2.17% to 675.92, a day after the country’s parliament passed a downsized budget of 673.3 trillion won ($470.60 billion) for 2025 late Tuesday. This is reportedly the first time that a spending...
When China promises “more proactive” economic measures, Hong Kong equities rise by about 3%.
China, Market

When China promises “more proactive” economic measures, Hong Kong equities rise by about 3%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng indexjumped nearly 3% in its final hour of trade, after china vowed “more proactive” fiscal measures and “moderately” looser monetary policy next year to boost domestic consumption. The announcement came from an official readout of a key policy meeting that outlined upcoming economic priorities. Prior to the news, mainland China’s CSI 300 index fell 0.17% to close at 3,966.57 after China’s consumer price growth came in below expectations in November. CPI rose 0.2% year on year, down from a 0.3% increase in October, according to the National Bureau of Statistics on Monday. Economists from Reuters forecast price growth of 0.5%. Elsewhere in the Asia-Pacific, markets were mixed as traders assessed revised economic growth data from Japan and South Korea’s pol...