China

Trade tensions are gloomy because big corporations don’t think China will rebound anytime soon.
China

Trade tensions are gloomy because big corporations don’t think China will rebound anytime soon.

Pernod Ricard and Carlsberg warned on Thursday they see few signs of a pick-up in consumer demand in China, the world's second-biggest economy, adding to a gloomy outlook for 2025 as executives try to navigate growing global trade tensions. Weak consumer spending in China, which is grappling with youth unemployment and a real-estate crisis, has been a major concern for industries including luxury goods, consumer products and clothes manufacturers over the past year. In the second half of 2024, Beijing rolled out multiple rounds of stimulus to lift the property sector from a prolonged slump, but executives see no significant recovery. Carlsberg chief executive officer Jacob Aarup-Andersen said demand in its largest market remained subdued last year, driving down volumes, and that ...
The Prolonged Economic Slowdown in China
China

The Prolonged Economic Slowdown in China

The Chinese government has rebuffed bold consumption stimulus policy. But boosting domestic household spending is precisely what the country needs to achieve healthy growth. The China boom has ended. The country’s annual economic growth rate has decelerated from a height of more than 14 percent in 2007 to less than 6 percent in 2023. Total indebtedness (including both internal and external debt) surpassed an alarming 365 percent of GDP as of the first quarter of 2024, according to the Institute of International Finance—much higher than comparable middle-income countries like Brazil (208 percent), Argentina (152 percent), and Indonesia (86 percent). The collapse or near collapse of real estate giants like Evergrande, which just a few years ago was the poster child for China’s economic m...
‘Discriminatory’ is how China describes Trump’s tariffs.
China

‘Discriminatory’ is how China describes Trump’s tariffs.

China has accused the US of making "unfounded and false allegations" about its role in the fentanyl trade to justify tariffs on Chinese products. The complaint was lodged with the World Trade Organization (WTO) one day after US President Donald Trump raised border taxes on Chinese goods by 10%, a measure he said was intended to address an influx of illegal drugs. In the filing, China said the measures were "discriminatory and protectionist" and violated trade rules. But experts have warned that China is unlikely to secure a ruling in its favour as the panel that settles trade disputes remains unable to function. One former WTO official told the BBC it has "no possibility of succeeding". The dispute comes as Trump's plans for tariffs - a tax he has said he wants to see imposed ...
China might collapse due to a trade war. For Beijing, Trump’s timing couldn’t be worse.
China, Market

China might collapse due to a trade war. For Beijing, Trump’s timing couldn’t be worse.

Even though it is Chinese New Year this week, Beijing has wasted no time in hitting back at Trump’s additional 10% tariff on all US imports from China. For now, though, this remains a mere skirmish, yet to escalate into a full-blown trade war — it could yet lead to some sort of negotiation and agreement. We’ve seen this already in Mexico and Canada. The risk, though, is that while these north American countries are neighbours and supposedly America’s allies, China is a strategic adversary. Trade conflict is a symptom of deeper political and economic tensions. The problem for China is that its economy is not well positioned to weather a new major external shock.For now, a 10% tariff increase would have a minor impact, maybe subtracting about 0.2% from Chinese GDP in 2025 — a fairly trivial...
To what extent will the trade conflict with China worsen?
China

To what extent will the trade conflict with China worsen?

The first punches have been thrown between the United States and China in what could amount to a short-lived trade dispute with limited economic fallout or the start of yet another lengthy and painful trade war reminiscent of President Donald Trump’s first term. Immediately after a new 10% tariff on all Chinese goods shipped to the US went into effect on Tuesday at 12:01 a.m. ET, China responded by announcing a 15% tariff on some goods it imports from the US: certain types of coal and liquefied natural gas and a 10% tariff on crude oil, agricultural machinery, large-displacement cars and pickup trucks. Those tariffs are set to take effect on MondayChina’s Commerce Ministry also added two American firms — biotech company Illumina and fashion retailer PVH Group, owner of Calvin Klein and...
<strong>The People’s Bank of China: Caught in a policy bind amid the yuan’s decline</strong>
China

The People’s Bank of China: Caught in a policy bind amid the yuan’s decline

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, finds itself in a challenging and delicate position as it grapples with the declining value of the Chinese yuan.  For years, Xi Jinping’s administration has aimed to elevate the yuan’s global status, positioning it as a potential challenger to the dominance of the US dollar in international trade and finance.  However, the current situation has complicated these ambitions.  The yuan’s ongoing depreciation is not just an economic issue but also a political one, undermining the goals set by the Chinese leadership.  Donald Trump’s election has further complicated Beijing’s already challenging policy landscape.  Even before Trump won the presidency, the PBOC was grappling with a difficult polic...
China Responds to US Companies as Trade Tensions Increase
China

China Responds to US Companies as Trade Tensions Increase

China announced a range of different measures on Tuesday targeting US businesses such as Google, plus more in other sectors almost immediately after new Trump’s tariffs on Chinese goods took effect. Beijing hit back with 15% tariffs on US coal and natural gas, plus measures on some autos in a rapid response to the duties President Trump put on Chinese goods days earlier, ratcheting up trade tensions between the world’s two biggest economies. Several US corporations such as PVH Corp, the holding company for brands like Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger, plus US biotechnology firm Illumina were put on Beijing’s “unreliable entity” list. It said the two companies took what it called “discriminatory measures against Chinese enterprises” and “damaged” the legitimate rights and interests...
As Trump tariffs go into force, China targets Google, coal, and gas in the United States.
China

As Trump tariffs go into force, China targets Google, coal, and gas in the United States.

China is not taking the Trump administration's tariffs sitting down. On Tuesday, shortly after the 10% tariffs took effect just past midnight on the U.S. East Coast, Beijing announced a raft of countermeasures. Those include 15% tariffs on American coal and liquefied natural gas and 10% tariffs on crude oil, farm equipment and certain other vehicles. The Chinese counter-tariffs are slated to take effect on Feb. 10. In a statement, the Chinese finance ministry said the U.S. tariffs "severely violate World Trade Organization (WTO) rules, and not only fail to address [America's] own problems but also disrupt normal economic and trade cooperation between China and the United States." In addition, China's market regulator announced an anti-monopoly investigation into Google. And th...
Global power shift: Economic Survey warns that “there is no guarantee that the world united can defeat China.”
China

Global power shift: Economic Survey warns that “there is no guarantee that the world united can defeat China.”

China's rapid industrial expansion is reshaping the global economic order. According to the Economic Survey 2025, UNIDO projects that China will account for 45% of all global manufacturing by 2030, surpassing the United States and its allies combined. "Just thirty years later, UNIDO projects that China will account for 45 per cent of all global manufacturing, singlehandedly matching or outmatching the US and its allies. This is a level of manufacturing dominance by a single country seen only twice before in world history—by the UK at the start of the Industrial Revolution and by the US just after World War 2. It means that in an extended war of production, there is no guarantee that the entire world united could defeat China alone." China's rise is not just about production volume—i...
China’s Empty Trains: New Year Travel Plummets Amid Economic Crisis
China

China’s Empty Trains: New Year Travel Plummets Amid Economic Crisis

This year in China, the Spring Festival lacks its usual glitter, bustling markets, and the throngs of travellers returning to their hometowns. Since the COVID-19 pandemic, China's economic situation has deteriorated significantly, resulting in the loss of hundreds of jobs. Those who are still employed are receiving only half their wages. Consequently, people are spending their limited savings very cautiously. Many have decided not to return home for the Spring Festival. As a result, the number of people traveling by road, rail, and air has been negligible. Some travellers reported that their train cars were completely empty. A passenger found himself alone in an entire first-class train car during the Spring Festival travel rush. Unlike the usual crowded scenes of previous years, t...