China’s Economy: How Bad Is It?
Good morning, or good afternoon, or good evening, wherever you are. Welcome to this CSIS event, “China’s Economy: How Bad Is It?” That is a very unfair question. It’s very unbalanced, but I think that’s where we need to start this morning to talk about China’s economy.
I visited China this summer for several weeks and went to many parts of the country, and was astounded by the technology progress that I saw in different companies in several sectors. But the real economy, the macroeconomy, seemed like it was on its back. The word “involution” – “neijuan” – is the word of the year in China: Mindless production for which there is no demand, with built-up inventories. And consumption seemed down just about everywhere I went, north and south, and the housing market seems like it’s in ba...







