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Asia, Market, World

Pakistan’s battle to attract Gulf investments in the face of economic downturns

Pakistan is seeking investments from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to mitigate its ongoing financial crisis. But attracting this critical Gulf capital requires substantial improvements in Pakistan's investment climate. Successful investment attraction will depends on presenting well-structured projects that promise sustainable growth. The government must also avoid over incentivising foreign investors at the expense of local industries, as this could lead to market imbalances and long-term economic liabilities. Pakistan’s economic situation is teetering on the brink as the country is facing a perilous financial crisis, scrambling to secure external financing to meet growing obligations. The country has received only temporary relief from a US$7 billion staff-level agre...
Asia, Market, World

The IMF projects 3.2 percent economic growth and 9.5 percent inflation for the nation.

ISLAMABAD: The Interna­tional Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecast Pakistan’s economy to grow by 3.2 per cent during the current fiscal year, falling short of the government’s budget target but surpassing projections by two other leading multilateral organisations. This growth rate is expected to be accompanied by a single-digit inflation rate of 9.5pc and a current account deficit nearing 1pc. In its World Economic Outlook (WEO-October 2024) released on Tuesday, the IMF also estimated global economic growth to stabilise at 3.2pc after “winning the battle against inflation”, despite ongoing risks related to regional conflicts, a slowdown in China, and the lasting effects of tight monetary policies and financial market volatility. The IMF, which recently approved a $7 billio...
Asia, Market, World

The global economy requires a triple pivot in policy as inflation declines.

Let’s start with the good news: it looks like the global battle against inflation has largely been won, even if price pressures persist in some countries. After peaking at 9.4 percent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2022, we now project headline inflation will fall to 3.5 percent by the end of next year, slightly below the average during the two decades before the pandemic. In most countries, inflation is now hovering close to central bank targets, paving the way for monetary easing across major central banks. The global economy remained unusually resilient throughout the disinflationary process. Growth is projected to hold steady at 3.2 percent in 2024 and 2025, but some low-income and developing economies have seen sizable downside growth revisions, often tied to intensifying co...
The Finance Ministry is criticized by the SC for requesting information from debt recovery tribunals.
Market, World

The Finance Ministry is criticized by the SC for requesting information from debt recovery tribunals.

The Supreme Court on Monday pulled up the Union Finance Ministry for seeking data from the Debts Recovery Tribunals (DRT) over the amount recovered on the basis of the tribunals' orders and sought an explanation. A bench comprising Justices Abhay S Oka and Augustine George Masih said the ministry could not treat the judicial staff of the DRTs as its subordinates and owed an explanation for calling upon the tribunals to collect such huge data within a short time. "You are treating the judicial staff as if they are your subordinates. We expect an apology from the government. Such extent of collection of data is sought within three days. If you want data to be collected, additional staff as required by DRT should be provided. This will not be tolerated. Some of them are judicial office...
The worldwide market is being revolutionized by China’s electric car sector.
Asia, China, Market, World

The worldwide market is being revolutionized by China’s electric car sector.

The global electric vehicle market has become a critical component in the transition towards a low-carbon future. At the forefront of this revolution is China, whose rapid ascent in the EV industry has left global automakers scrambling to keep pace. Despite trade tensions and tariffs aimed at curbing its dominance, China remains the undisputed leader in the sector, producing more than 60% of the world’s EVs. China’s success in the electric vehicle industry can be traced back to a combination of forward-thinking policies, substantial investments, and a national commitment to innovation. The story begins with a strategic proposal made by Wan Gang, often referred to as the father of the EV movement in China. His vision, presented to the Chinese State Council in 2000, emphasised the need f...
The TSF Group provides a comprehensive range of products for international markets.
Asia, Market, World

The TSF Group provides a comprehensive range of products for international markets.

The TSF Group, one of the largest automotive groups based in India is gearing up to produce exhaustive range of brakes, axles and wheels for the domestic and global trailer market. As a renowned Tier-1 supplier to global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) for over 60 years, the group strongly focuses on design, development, world-class quality, competitive cost and superior customer centricity. Brakes India, a leading supplier of braking systems, recently showcased its 22.5-inch light weight monobloc Single Piston Air Disk Brake. The product is designed to cater to truck, bus and trailer applications. It is targeted towards both domestic and exports trailer markets. It meets the FMVSS 121 regulations for North America, said a company official. Key features of the product inc...
Everyone is affected by China’s economic slowdown; it’s not just a personal issue.
Asia, China, Market, World

Everyone is affected by China’s economic slowdown; it’s not just a personal issue.

Issues in a country can have a rippling effect felt by its neighbours and countries far across the globe. The reason behind this is globalisation, which doubtless, has its benefits but has also increased the linkage and dependencies between countries.  For example, Sri Lanka’s economic turmoil, which began in 2019, negatively impacted the businesses of Indian companies such as Reliance, Ashok Leyland and Tata Motors, but also opened more doors for India in the tea market. Because of the crisis, Sri Lanka’s primary tea exports fell significantly, and India took this opportunity to fill this gap in the global market.  Similarly, China’s economic slowdown is causing shock waves not only in the country but also across the global economy. Here’s a detailed picture.  Why...
Asia, China, Market

An Overview of the Chinese Economy, October 2024

China’s economy expanded by 4.6% yoy in Q3 2024 – broadly in line with our expectations – marginally slower than at 4.7% yoy growth recorded in Q2. We have argued for some time that the full year target of “around 5%” would be difficult to reach – indeed it would take a sizeable acceleration in activity in Q4, something we consider unlikely given the lack of meaningful fiscal stimulus to date. Should such a program occur following the National People’s Congress in late October, it likely implies more upside risk to our 2025 forecasts than 2024. Our growth forecasts are unchanged – we see an increase of 4.7% yoy in 2024, before easing to 4.6% in 2025, with the property sector and weak domestic demand remaining headwinds to growth Growth in China’s industrial production was slightly str...
Asia, China, Market

The economic slump in China gets worse.

China's economy expanded in the third quarter at the slowest pace since early last year, as the country struggles to boost flagging growth. On an annual basis, gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 4.6% in the three months to the end of September,according to China's National Bureau of Statistics. That is less than the previous quarter and below the government's "around 5%" target for this year. But it was slightly better than analysts expected, while other official figures released on Friday, including retail sales and factory output, also beat forecasts. In recent weeks, Beijing has announced a number of measures aimed at supporting growth. This is the second quarter in a row that China's official measure of economic growth has fallen below the 5% target, which will add to...
Economic prognosis for Japan, October 2024
Asia, Market

Economic prognosis for Japan, October 2024

Evidence of improvement is emerging in the Japanese economy: After a contraction in the first quarter, real gross domestic product rebounded by 0.7% in the second quarter of 2024, thanks to strong domestic demand.1 Consumer spending grew 0.9% from the previous quarter, while both residential and nonresidential private investments picked up. Year over year, consumer spending returned to growing ways, while exports contracted for the first time since 2020.2 Clearly, the driver of Japan’s economic growth is shifting from external to domestic demand. Although we expect domestic demand growth to continue, gains will likely be modest as elevated inflation limits the benefits of stronger wage growth. Real GDP growth was a welcome development, but some of the gains in the second quar...