Market

India’s economy is expected to rank third, however growing populations provide a challenge: The S&P
18Oct mmBy Brian ThompsonNo Comments
Asia, Market

India’s economy is expected to rank third, however growing populations provide a challenge: The S&P

India is poised to be the third largest global economy by 2030 but rising population presents mounting challenges in basic service coverage and growing investment needs to maintain productivity, S&P Global Ratings said on Thursday. It said emerging economies have high ambitions for the next decade and beyond with India aiming to become a $30 trillion economy by 2047, from the current $3.6 trillion. India is currently the fifth largest economy. "India is poised to be the fastest-growing major economy over the next three years and the third largest globally by 2030. Its 2024 entry into JP Morgan's Government Emerging Market Bond Index could provide additional government funding and unlock significant resources in domestic capital markets. This is only a first step --investors will...
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Due to a dire energy situation, Cuba was obliged to “paralyze its economy.”
18Oct mmBy Walter ParezNo Comments
Asia, Market, World

Due to a dire energy situation, Cuba was obliged to “paralyze its economy.”

Cuba’s government has announced it will halt all non-vital state services and businesses for three days as it battles an energy crisis that has caused marathon blackouts for much of the country. Prime Minister Manuel Marrero outlined the measures in an address Thursday night, saying the government had no choice but to “paralyse the economy.” This includes shuttering all cultural activities and recreation centres such as discos, as well as public schools until Monday, Cuba’s state-run electricity union said in a release. After initially announcing staggered geographical outages, the government declared a complete nationwide breakdown of the National Electric Power System shortly after 11am (15:00 GMT) on Friday morning, declaring it had been “totally disconnected.” It...
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Technical Analysis of Oil, Natural Gas, and the US Dollar Under Pressure from the World Market
17Oct mmBy Michael SmithNo Comments
Market, USA, World

Technical Analysis of Oil, Natural Gas, and the US Dollar Under Pressure from the World Market

continues to face downward pressure due to uncertainties stemming from tensions in the Middle East. These uncertainties revolve around the future of the Middle East conflict and the impact of the ongoing output cuts enforced by OPEC. OPEC and the IEA have lowered their global growth forecasts 2024, further affecting the oil market. These global pressures include geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, and central bank policies impacting energy and currency markets. The uncertainty in the oil market has also impacted natural gas (NG) prices, which remain under pressure. The escalation of the Middle East crisis on a global scale has also impacted the US dollar index (DXY), along with a basket of major currencies. The US dollar has strengthened as a safe-haven currency. T...
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The United States’ COVID-19 recovery in relation to other countries
17Oct mmBy Walter ParezNo Comments
Market, World

The United States’ COVID-19 recovery in relation to other countries

The COVID-19 pandemic-era recession was unlike any other in U.S. history. Beginning in February 2020, the recession quickly reached depths not experienced in roughly a century before abating just as fast—lasting just two months according to the National Bureau of Economic Research. A combination of unprecedented fiscal support, rapid deployment of vaccines, and structural economic resilience all helped jumpstart the swift and enduring U.S. recovery, with the economic expansion now entering its fourth year. As the economy continues to grow, two important characteristics have emerged: (i) the U.S. avoided the deep economic scarring that impacted millions of American households in the last recovery; and (ii) the U.S. recovery has far outpaced most of its G10 peer countries. The prior...
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Would China’s latest stimulus be sufficient to boost its economy?
17Oct mmBy Joe RodriguezNo Comments
Asia, China, Market

Would China’s latest stimulus be sufficient to boost its economy?

In September, China’s central bank announced its most aggressive measures since the pandemic to get its economy back on track after it became clear the country might miss its 5 percent gross domestic product (GDP) growth target for 2024. The world’s second-largest economy is still struggling from the lingering side-effects of COVID-19 – when China implemented some of the longest and harshest lockdowns – to the collapse of its property sector in 2021, and deeper societal changes like a falling birthrate and ageing population. Beijing has so far avoided the kind of 4 trillion RMB ($586bn) stimulus it used in 2008 following the global financial crisis, but its latest moves have been met with a positive response from investors. Observers, however, wonder whether it will be enough. Wh...
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16Oct mmBy Walter ParezNo Comments
Asia, Market, World

Due to unfavorable global signals, shares may begin the day down.

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth Rs 1,748.71 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers to the tune of Rs 1,654.96 crore in the Indian equity market on 15 October 2024, provisional data showed. According to NSDL data, FPIs have sold shares worth over Rs 70303.50 crore (so far) in the secondary market during October 2024. This follows their purchase of shares worth Rs 46,552.40 crore in September 2024. Most Asian stocks declined on Wednesday, primarily due to a weak outlook from ASML, a leading chipmaker. Cooling optimism about Chinese stimulus measures also contributed to the market's downturn. Regional markets followed Wall Street's lead, where a drop in chipmaking stocks pulled U.S. benchmarks from record highs. At the close in NYSE...
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The only source of labor force growth in America will be immigrants.
16Oct mmBy Michael SmithNo Comments
Market, USA

The only source of labor force growth in America will be immigrants.

Immigrant workers will be the only source of U.S. labor force growth in the economy after 2052, according to new research by the National Foundation For American Policy. Long before then, this report states the number of Americans of prime working age will stagnate. The findings represent the latest evidence that U.S. economic growth and living standards will languish without immigrant workers entering the U.S. labor force. Economists like Pia Orrenius and Chloe Smith of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas noted in a public statement that a country achieves economic growth with “growth in the labor force and its productivity.” As such, businesses cannot expand without finding people to hire, and American consumers suffer when companies cannot provide goods and services ...
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A detailed examination of China’s economic predicament and the ways in which inexperience is escalating it
15Oct mmBy Joe RodriguezNo Comments
China, Market

A detailed examination of China’s economic predicament and the ways in which inexperience is escalating it

This is the first in a three-part series delving into the unprecedented challenges China is facing on its road to economic recovery, from inexperience in dealing with such crises to the compounding implications of internal demographic shifts and external trade hurdles. The topsy-turvy roller-coaster ride that has seen China’s economy teetering on the rails for the past four years has left Zack Yao clinging to whatever business he can muster while struggling to determine when the wild ride will end. At 37 years old, the seller of electric power tools in the eastern province of Zhejiang has never experienced anything like the series of ups and downs that accompanied China’s pandemic years and subsequent attempts to return to economic normality. “I can still feel the sting...
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Can China’s lethargic economy be revived by the massive stimulus spending the government is planning?
15Oct mmBy Joe RodriguezNo Comments
Asia, China, Market

Can China’s lethargic economy be revived by the massive stimulus spending the government is planning?

China’s relentless economic growth used to be the marvel of the world. Oh, what a memory. The past couple of years have seen China contend with an economic slowdown amid colliding crises, many of which make it internationally unique. Consumer prices have been approaching deflationary territory, there’s an oversupply of housing, and youth unemployment has soared. Mounting pressure has forced the Chinese government to step in. Over the past month, Beijing has put forward a set of significant economic stimulus measures aimed at reviving China’s faltering economy. According to a research note by Deutsche Bank, this stimulus could potentially become “the largest in history” in nominal terms. But there’s still a lot we don’t know. So what kinds of measures that are ...
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14Oct mmBy Joe RodriguezNo Comments
Asia, China, Market, World

Goldman Sachs upgraded their predictions for China’s economic expansion.

Analysts expect China's GDP to grow by 4.9% in 2024 Goldman Sachs has improved its forecasts for China’s economic growth in 2024 and 2025, Bloomberg  The forecast has been improved on the back of Beijing’s unveiling of a number of stimulus measures, including recent plans to increase government spending. Goldman Sachs expects China’s GDP to grow by 4.9% this year, up from 4.7% previously forecast. According to a new research note, the investment bank also raised its forecast for Chinese economic growth in 2025 to 4.7% (previously 4.3%). On October 12, China promised to “significantly increase” debt issuance to revive its economy, Reuters writes, but left investors guessing about the total amount of the stimulus package. Finance Minister Lan Foan said: Beijing will help...
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