USA

Why a US-China trade deal matters to the global economy
USA

Why a US-China trade deal matters to the global economy

Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping’s first face-to-face meeting since 2019 is expected to produce a deal to lower trade tensions between the United States and China. But while Trump and Xi will be representing Washington and Beijing on Thursday, whatever they agree to on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in South Korea will have ramifications for the entire global economy. As the world’s two largest economies, the US and China are unmatched in their influence on global stability and prosperity. Together, they account for 43 percent of global gross domestic product (GDP) and nearly half of global manufacturing output. Their two-way trade came to some $585bn in 2024 alone. A full-blown US-China trade war or decoupling would almost ce...
US-China now in a ‘very different kind of trade war’, experts warn
Asia, China, USA

US-China now in a ‘very different kind of trade war’, experts warn

China’s recent expanded export restrictions on rare-earth metals was a ‘power play’; before Trump-Xi meeting while the Trump administration ‘doesn’t quite know’ how to deal with Beijing. Relations between the United States and China are tense, once again, with experts saying that the administration of US President Donald Trump “doesn’t quite know how to deal with China”. The latest flare-up took place when Beijing, on October 9, expanded its restrictions on the export of rare-earth metals, increasing the number of elements on the list. China has the largest reserves and the majority of processing facilities of rare-earth metals that are used in a range of daily and critical industries like electric vehicles, smartphones, laptops and defence equipment. In a first, it also r...
India to cut Russian oil purchases, U.S. to slash tariffs as they near trade deal: Indian media report
Asia, USA

India to cut Russian oil purchases, U.S. to slash tariffs as they near trade deal: Indian media report

The U.S. could substantially slash tariffs on Indian exports as the two countries near a trade deal that could see New Delhi cutting oil purchases from Russia, Indian media outlet Mint reported Wednesday. As part of the trade deal, Washington could slash tariffs on Indian exports to 15%-16% from the current 50%, Mint reported citing three unnamed sources aware of the matter. India is also considering raising its import quota for non-genetically modified corn from the U.S. — currently 0.5 million tonnes annually — even with a import duty of 15%, while pushing for a mechanism under which both sides can revisit tariffs and market access over time, the report said. On Tuesday, U.S. President Donald Trump said he had received assurance from Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in a...
Banking shares’ wobbles reveal growing unease over credit risks
Market, USA, World

Banking shares’ wobbles reveal growing unease over credit risks

A clutch of bad loans at banks in recent weeks has shaken investor confidence in banking shares, which gyrated sharply late this week as unease mounted over credit risks that threatened to spill into the broader markets. The markets have weathered a string of credit scares and surprise write-downs over the past two years, but sentiment took a particularly hard knock in recent days from auto bankruptcies and alleged fraud that resulted in losses at several banks. The latest scare came on Thursday when Zions Bancorporation (ZION.O), opens new tab disclosed losses tied to two commercial and industrial loans and Western Alliance (WAL.N), opens new tab said it had initiated a lawsuit alleging fraud by Cantor Group V, LLC. Cantor denies the allegatio...
US warns world will ‘decouple’ from China if it imposes new export controls
China, USA

US warns world will ‘decouple’ from China if it imposes new export controls

Top US officials have accused China of betraying a trade truce reached earlier this year, escalating tensions between the two economic giants. In an unusual, staged appearance, US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent blasted China's plans to curb exports of rare earths "economic coercion" and "a global supply chain power grab". "If China wants to be an unreliable partner to the world, then the world will have to decouple," Bessent said. At the same time, they left the door open to negotiation, questioning whether China would ultimately implement the export controls it announced last week. "The scope and the scale is just unimaginable, and it cannot be implemented," Greer said on Wednesday of China's tightened export controls. Chi...
Is US economy sliding into recession amid government shutdown?
USA

Is US economy sliding into recession amid government shutdown?

What's the story The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that the US economy is showing signs of weakness, but it has avoided a recession predicted by many experts six months ago. Kristalina Georgieva, IMF's Managing Director, noted that better policies, an adaptable private sector, and less severe import tariffs than expected have helped keep the US economy afloat. Global perspective Global growth slowing slightly this year and next: Georgieva Georgieva also shared her thoughts on the global economy, saying that "we see global growth slowing only slightly this year and next." She said all indicators point to a world economy that has largely withstood acute strains from multiple shocks. This statement was part of a preview for the IMF's upcoming World Economic Out...
The Fight for U.S. Dollar Dominance and Ending Financial Blackmail
USA

The Fight for U.S. Dollar Dominance and Ending Financial Blackmail

The global push to dethrone the dollar – and how the U.S. plans to fight back Key Takeaways: U.S. Dollar at Risk: Global rivals like China, Russia, and the BRICS alliance are actively working to dethrone the dollar’s reserve currency status. Financial Leverage Threat: Foreign nations hold nearly $8 trillion in U.S. debt, creating vulnerabilities and geopolitical pressure points. A Plan for Sovereignty: A new financial framework could secure U.S. dollar dominance for a century, lower borrowing costs, and unleash a $4 trillion market shift. For more than eight decades, the U.S. dollar has reigned as king of global finance. It’s the world’s reserve currency; the backbone of international trade, binding the global economy together. But today, that dom...
Impact of Trump tariffs is beginning to show in US consumer prices
USA

Impact of Trump tariffs is beginning to show in US consumer prices

Trade levies are starting to drive up costs for goods from cans of soup to car parts Official data and statements from companies are pointing to accelerating price rises for an assortment of trade-dependent products after companies sold off inventories and moved to shift the cost burden of tariffs on to consumers. Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that in the six months to August, prices for audio equipment rose by 14 per cent, dresses were up by 8 per cent and tools, hardware and supplies had risen by 5 per cent. Most of these goods are imported. “Over the past two years, goods inflation has been about zero. We are beginning to see goods inflation creep up,” said Mark Mathews, chief economist at the National Retail Federation.  President Donald Tru...
EU pushes new AI strategy to reduce tech reliance on US and China
Asia, China, USA

EU pushes new AI strategy to reduce tech reliance on US and China

Brussels to unveil plan targeting digital sovereignty as it warns technology can be ‘weaponised’ by geopolitical rivals The EU must promote homegrown artificial intelligence platforms and decrease its reliance on foreign providers, Brussels has said, as it prepares to set out a new plan to compete against the US and China in the global race for the revolutionary technology. According to a draft proposal seen by the Financial Times, the European Commission’s new “Apply AI strategy” will promote European-made AI tools to provide security and resilience while boosting the bloc’s industrial competitiveness. The strategy highlights the need to improve AI usage in sectors including healthcare, defence and manufacturing. The Commission aims to “strengthen EU AI sovereignty” by accel...
The dollar’s role in the fight for US primacy
USA

The dollar’s role in the fight for US primacy

Eight months into the second Donald Trump administration, the contours of its trade and exchange rate policies are becoming clearer—or at least their objective is. In line with the administration’s wider goal of reasserting the United States’ dominant global role, especially vis-à-vis China, economic policies have now become inextricably linked with US foreign policy priorities. The administration has deployed both its military and economic leverage in the service of its policy goals to a degree not seen for a long time. With respect to China, the administration is taking steps to preserve and exploit US technological advantages, while trying to close the gap in other areas in which China has strategic advantages. The first category includes advanced chip design and artificial inte...