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Economist Steve Hanke Forecasts Difficult Times for the US Economy Due to Tariff Tsunami
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Economist Steve Hanke Forecasts Difficult Times for the US Economy Due to Tariff Tsunami

Trump’s Trade Levy Could Repeat 1930s Market Freefall, Warns HankeOn the social media platform X, American economist Steve Hanke—celebrated for his applied economics research, currency-reform work and monetary policy expertise—has been unabashedly voicing his disdain for Trump’s tariff measures. On Sunday, he took to X and said, “According to my friend and former colleague David Stockman, [President] Trump’s proposed tariffs will increase input costs for American businesses by $500 [billion].” He then added that “tariffs [equal] an economic wrecking ball” in all capital letters. In another X post which features a video of Hanke, the economist cautions that current economic policies mirror those of the early 1930s, when the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act took effect. “And it’s something akin t...
Low demand and an escalating trade conflict provide domestic concerns for China’s exporters.
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Low demand and an escalating trade conflict provide domestic concerns for China’s exporters.

Since the US began rolling out multiple rounds of tariffs on Chinese goods earlier this month, Beijing has urged exporters to pivot to the domestic market. But for Li, a bicycle manufacturer with a long-term exclusive focus on American buyers, the shift has been anything but smooth.She signed up for an initiative on JD.com, one of China’s largest e-commerce platforms. The company promised to funnel 200 billion yuan (US$27.41 billion) to help exporters transition to domestic sales. But days later, her application still hadn’t been processed. “We reached out to JD to open a store, but they told us the policy only applied to merchants already running self-operated shops,” she said. “Customer service hadn’t even heard of any special support measures for export companies like us.” The co...
Xi reveals a strategy to mitigate the effects of the US trade war on the Chinese economy.
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Xi reveals a strategy to mitigate the effects of the US trade war on the Chinese economy.

Xi Jinping has announced a plan to counter China’s continuing economic problems and the impact of the US trade war, as reports swirl that it could drop tariffs on some US products, including semiconductors. Friday’s meeting of the politburo was convened to discuss China’s economy, which since the pandemic has faced difficulties fuelled by a housing sector crisis, youth unemployment and Donald Trump’s tariffs on all Chinese imports to the US. A readout of the meeting published by the official state media outlet Xinhua said China’s economy had showed a “positive trend” with increasing social confidence in 2025, but “the impact of external shocks has increased”. “We must strengthen bottom-line thinking, fully prepare emergency plans and do a solid job in economic work,” it said.In a...
Examining How the Trade War Between the United States and China Affects China’s Energy Transition
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Examining How the Trade War Between the United States and China Affects China’s Energy Transition

The United States and China are locked into an escalating trade war with broad implications for U.S.-China relations, the global economy, supply chains, and global governance. After several rounds of retaliation, both sides have put in place extensive tariffs that jeopardize bilateral trade, and China has introduced new export controls on critical minerals, including certain rare earth metals, among other things. The trade war could impact China’s and the world’s clean energy transition. China, the world’s largest greenhouse gas emitter, is responsible for over 30 percent of global emissions but is also a clean energy technology juggernaut with record deployment of renewables and electric vehicles (EVs). China also supplies much of the world with EVs, batteries, and solar panels. Conseque...
Beijing cautions nations from banding together with the US to impose trade restrictions on China.
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Beijing cautions nations from banding together with the US to impose trade restrictions on China.

Beijing has warned its trading partners against succumbing to US pressure to isolate China in President Donald Trump’s tariff war, as part of its carrot-and-stick approach to win over countries caught between the world’s two largest economies. Commenting on recent media reports about the Trump administration’s plans to pressure countries into restricting trade with China in exchange for exemptions from US tariffs, a spokesperson for China’s Commerce Ministry said on Monday: “Appeasement does not bring peace, and compromise does not earn respect.” “Seeking temporary self-interest at the expense of others — in exchange for so-called exemptions — is like asking a tiger for its skin. In the end, it will achieve nothing and harm both others and oneself,” the spokesperson said in a statem...
Comprehending the Labor Shortage in America
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Comprehending the Labor Shortage in America

We hear every day from our member companies—of every size and industry, across nearly every state—that they’re facing challenges trying to find enough workers to fill open jobs. The U.S. Chamber is capturing the trends on job openings, labor force participation, quit rates, and more for a quick understanding of the state of the workforce in our America Works Data Center.  Read on for an analysis of the state of the workforce on the national level.Why are we in a worker shortage?At the height of the pandemic, more than 120,000 businesses temporarily closed, and more than 30 million U.S. workers were unemployed. Since then, job openings have steadily increased while unemployment has slowly declined.In 2023, employers ended up adding 3.1 million jobs. A strong jobs market is good news, bu...
The Tense Trade Relationship Between the United States and China
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The Tense Trade Relationship Between the United States and China

U.S. trade with China has grown enormously in recent decades and is crucial for both countries. Today, China is one of the largest export markets for U.S. goods and services (second to Mexico), and the United States is the top export market for China. This trade—much of which grew after China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001—has brought lower prices to U.S. consumers and higher profits for U.S. corporations. But it also comes with costs, notably the loss of American jobs due to import competition, automation, and multinational companies moving manufacturing overseas. After President Donald Trump began a so-called trade war with China in 2018, economic tensions between Washington and Beijing have been on the rise. Chinese officials have warned that there are “no winners...
China’s trade surplus as a result of fundamental problems in the US economy
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China’s trade surplus as a result of fundamental problems in the US economy

The trade imbalance in goods between China and the United States is both an inevitable outcome of structural issues within the US economy and a consequence of comparative advantages and international division of labour between the two countries—not a result of China’s deliberate pursuit of a trade surplus, a Chinese white paper outlining its position on US tariffs stated on Wednesday. As US imposed a cumulative 145 per cent tariffs on Chinese goods due to high trade deficit and unfair practices, China argued that the benefits derived from economic and trade relations between the two countries are “generally balanced”, and that a comprehensive and nuanced assessment is required to determine whether China–US bilateral trade is indeed balanced, as it cannot be judged solely on the basis o...
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The Impact of Trump’s Tariffs on the Economy

The Economic Effects of President Trump’s TariffsIntroductionOn April 2, 2025, President Trump signed an executive order imposing a minimum 10 percent tariff on all U.S. imports, with higher tariffs on imports from 57 specific countries. The general tariff rate became effective on April 5, while tariffs on imports from the 57 targeted nations, ranging from 11 to 50 percent, took effect on April 9. See the PWBM tariff simulator posted separately, which may have been updated after the publication date of this brief. This resource provides revenue estimates and projected price increases across thousands of different spending categories. Conventional Effects on Revenues and ImportsAs shown in Table 1, we project that tariffs will raise $5.2 trillion in new revenue over the next 10 years, e...
Economist Akash Jindal claims that India decoupled and stands to benefit greatly from the US-China trade war.
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Economist Akash Jindal claims that India decoupled and stands to benefit greatly from the US-China trade war.

As the United States moves ahead with 100% tariffs on Chinese imports, worries about a global economic slowdown are deepening. But even as the world braces for the fallout, economist Akash Jindal believes India may have reasons to stay optimistic. “This tariff war is going to hurt both the US and China, and the ripple effect could drag many economies down with them,” Jindal said, warning of a possible recession if the measures aren’t rolled back.China's pain is India's gainThe global tension stems from China’s heavy dependence on exports. Already battling issues like deflation, rising debt, and a stressed financial sector, the Chinese economy could face an even sharper decline under the weight of these new tariffs. “China is in a vulnerable spot,” said Jindal. “And with investors pu...