World

Does the fate of the US economy now hinge on one company?
USA, World

Does the fate of the US economy now hinge on one company?

The entire stock market, and therefore the entire economy, depends on it maintaining pretty impossible growth metrics. As the price of almost everything has increased, and American workers’ wages have all but stalled, politicians like President Donald Trump have tried to ease our minds by telling us that the economy is “doing great” and that the stock market is booming. “Record high, record high, record high,” Trump said at an event earlier this month in Florida. Still, despite what has been a good year for the stock market, it’s hard to find a day in which a podcaster, influencer, or economist isn’t warning that the AI boom that’s powering the economy could be a bubble — one that is about to burst. The company that’s driving Wall Street’s positive movement is Nvidia, the mos...
China’s Economy is Forecast to Grow Faster Than Expected in 2026
Asia, China, World

China’s Economy is Forecast to Grow Faster Than Expected in 2026

China’s surprising strength in exports and its commitment to more advanced manufacturing in a new Five-Year Plan boost are raising expectations for GDP growth. Goldman Sachs Research sees 5-6% annual growth in China’s exports and raised its real GDP forecasts for 2026 and 2027 to well above consensus. The approval of the new Five-Year Plan proposal highlights the government’s determination and capability to keep advancing its manufacturing and boost its export market share. A meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping in South Korea, signaling a truce on trade, has also improved the growth outlook, even while showing China’s leverage over rare earth minerals to push back on trade restrictions. The drag on economic growth caused by China’s property downturn is beginning t...
An unusual trend in the economy is worrying the Fed
USA, World

An unusual trend in the economy is worrying the Fed

Something in the US economy isn’t adding up, and it’s rattling the people charged with wrangling inflation and keeping the labor market intact. US companies have sharply slowed their hiring this year, hesitant to invest without knowing the full effects of President Donald Trump’s sweeping economic policies. The economy lost jobs in June and August, and the average pace of job gains for the three months ending in September was only around 62,000, according to the Labor Department. Yet workers’ productivity, a key driver of economic output, remains high. And gross domestic product, which captures all the goods and services produced in the economy, has stayed robust. That dichotomy of an expanding economy and a softening labor market presents a conundrum for policymakers at...
Has Britain become an economic colony?
USA, World

Has Britain become an economic colony?

The UK could’ve been a true tech leader – but it has cheerfully submitted to US dominance in a way that may cost it dear Two and a half centuries ago, the American colonies launched a violent protest against British rule, triggered by parliament’s imposition of a monopoly on the sale of tea and the antics of a vainglorious king. Today, the tables have turned: it is Great Britain that finds itself at the mercy of major US tech firms – so huge and dominant that they constitute monopolies in their fields – as well as the whims of an erratic president. Yet, to the outside observer, Britain seems curiously at ease with this arrangement – at times even eager to subsidise its own economic dependence. Britain is hardly alone in submitting to the power of American firms, but it offers a cle...
US economy adds 119,000 jobs in September as unemployment rate rises
USA, World

US economy adds 119,000 jobs in September as unemployment rate rises

United States job growth accelerated in September despite a cooling job market as the unemployment rate rose. Nonfarm payrolls grew by 119,000 jobs after a downwardly revised 4,000 drop in August, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report released on Thursday. The unemployment rate rose to 4.4 percent, up from 4.3 percent in August. The healthcare sector had the most gains, totalling 43,000 jobs in September. Food and beverage services sectors followed, adding 37,000 jobs, and social assistance employment grew by 14,000. Other sectors saw little change, including construction, wholesale trade, retail services, as well as professional and business services. The federal workforce saw a decline of 3,000, marking 97,000 jobs cut from the nation’s largest empl...
China-US ties find ‘stable equilibrium’ but tech disruptions loom: financial leaders
China, USA, World

China-US ties find ‘stable equilibrium’ but tech disruptions loom: financial leaders

Global trade tensions, stoked by China-US tariffs, are settling into a steadier balance as the world braces for fresh challenges from rapid technological disruptions, financial leaders said on Tuesday at a summit in Hong Kong. The China-US relationship had entered into a more “stable equilibrium” after last week’s talks between the leaders of the world’s two biggest economies, despite the noise on the surface over tariffs and other trade disputes, said William Ford, chairman and CEO of US private equity firm General Atlantic, at the Global Financial Leaders’ Investment Summit. “Below the water line, there was actually a much more constructive engagement, as evidenced by [US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent] and some of the Chinese leaders in their five m...
Banking shares’ wobbles reveal growing unease over credit risks
Market, USA, World

Banking shares’ wobbles reveal growing unease over credit risks

A clutch of bad loans at banks in recent weeks has shaken investor confidence in banking shares, which gyrated sharply late this week as unease mounted over credit risks that threatened to spill into the broader markets. The markets have weathered a string of credit scares and surprise write-downs over the past two years, but sentiment took a particularly hard knock in recent days from auto bankruptcies and alleged fraud that resulted in losses at several banks. The latest scare came on Thursday when Zions Bancorporation (ZION.O), opens new tab disclosed losses tied to two commercial and industrial loans and Western Alliance (WAL.N), opens new tab said it had initiated a lawsuit alleging fraud by Cantor Group V, LLC. Cantor denies the allegatio...
Trump’s economic rivalry with China is forcing countries to pick a side
Asia, China, USA, World

Trump’s economic rivalry with China is forcing countries to pick a side

Globalization is dead, at least that’s the verdict of a seemingly endless stream of commentators. But as ever in economics, the story isn’t quite so simple. The prevailing account runs something like this: tariffs first introduced by President Trump, kept in place by President Biden and now turbocharged in Trump’s second term, signal a new age of economic nationalism. According to this view, we are witnessing the start of a grand retreat from the open trading system that has defined the past few decades. The world is turning inwards, and the era of global integration is drawing to a close. But this story doesn’t sit comfortably with the facts. Far from collapsing, global trade volumes have continued to rise and today sit near record highs. If this is the dawn of deglobalization, it...
China’s economy and its influence on global markets
China, USA, World

China’s economy and its influence on global markets

China remains among the largest global economies, but it faces significant economic headwinds. The country’s real gross domestic product (GDP) growth, a common economic activity measure, slowed from double-digit annual increases during the 2000s to 5.3% in this year’s second quarter. Nevertheless, China remains a major global trading partner and ranks as the second-largest economy worldwide, trailing only the United States.  ’s agenda emphasizes reframing Chinese trade relations. To reduce dependence on Chinese-made goods and promote domestic manufacturing, President Trump implemented varying  on Chinese imports. Early in the new administration, the U.S. added 10% tariffs to China. That quickly doubled to 20% and eventually totaled 145%, threatening to cripple trade ...
After job reports suggested possible problems, Trump used graphs to argue that the US economy is doing well.
USA, World

After job reports suggested possible problems, Trump used graphs to argue that the US economy is doing well.

President Donald Trump unexpectedly summoned reporters to the Oval Office on Thursday to present them with charts that he says show the U.S. economy is solid following a jobs report last week that raised red flags and led to the Republican firing the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Joining Trump to talk about the economy was Stephen Moore, a senior visiting fellow in economics at the Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank, and the co-author of the 2018 book “ Trumponomics.” Flipping through a series of charts on an easel, Moore sought to elevate Trump’s performance as president and diminish the economic track record of former President Joe Biden. Trump stood next to Moore and interjected with approvals. The moment in the Oval Office spoke to the president’s ho...