World

Asia, Market, World

Six imperatives for credit unions to secure their future

Credit unions in the United States are at a crossroads. Their membership ranks are aging, and young people don’t always see credit unions’ offerings as a good value. That means credit unions need to work harder to attract younger members, or risk fading into irrelevance. (For more details on credit unions—what are they exactly and who can join one—see sidebar, “A brief history of credit unions.”) US credit unions have had a strong run in recent years. Since 2018, loans at credit unions have grown 8.8 percent a year, on average,1 compared with 8.0 percent a year for bank loans,2 while deposits at credit unions have risen 9.0 percent, compared with 8.9 percent for bank deposits. Despite these positive trends, 2023 was a difficult year for US credit unions, as ROA for the sector fell 23.5...
Maintaining current reforms is essential to Sri Lanka’s economic recovery: IMF
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Maintaining current reforms is essential to Sri Lanka’s economic recovery: IMF

The key to Sri Lanka's transition from stabilisation to full economic recovery is sustaining the ongoing reform momentum, the IMF said on Friday after it decided to release the third tranche of $336 million from the $2.9 billion four year bailout package to the island nation. While releasing the third tranche, the IMF on Thursday noted that Sri Lanka's economy has started recovering, inflation remained low, revenue collection was improving, and reserves continued to accumulate but warned that despite these positive developments, the economy is still vulnerable and the path to debt sustainability remains knife-edged We encourage the (Sri Lankan) authorities to continue to build on these hard-won gains and remain steadfast with their reform commitments, Peter Breuer, the head of the S...
Asia, China, Market, World

June 2024 Fed meeting: Fed maintains current policy rate and sees only one rate cut in 2024

Key takeaways During its June meeting, the Federal Reserve (Fed) unanimously voted to hold policy rates steady for the seventh consecutive time, leaving the Fed Funds Target Rate unchanged at 5.25% to 5.50%. The much-anticipated Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) broadly met expectations with a higher inflation forecast for 2024 and less easing this year; The median FOMC member called for one 25 basis point cut by the end of this year and four 25 basis point cuts in 2025. Within the Fed’s economic projections, the most significant update was the expectation that core inflation will move to 2.8% for year-end from 2.6%. This increase is likely due to strong first quarter inflation. Chair Powell underscored that the Fed’s decision on the direction of rates continues to b...
Market, USA, World

US Fed holds key rates elevated at 23-year high, expects single 0.25% reduction in 2024; 5 key takeaways

The US Federal Reserve announced its fourth interest rate decision for 2024 on Thursday, after a two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where it unanimously voted to leave the key benchmark interest rates unchanged at 5.25 per cent - 5.50 per cent for the seventh straight meeting, which was broadly in line with Wall Street estimates and market analysts. The US central bank has maintained its key overnight interest rate at the 23-year high-mark since July 2023. Despite US inflation falling further to the target range in recent months, the Fed does not expect to reduce interest rates until it has “gained greater confidence” that inflation is moving sustainably towards its two per cent level.  Fed policymakers also slightly raised the US core inflation forecast for this ...
To revive the economy, we want humility rather than arrogance.
World

To revive the economy, we want humility rather than arrogance.

The economy appears to be at a crossroads. For a variety of reasons, the general optimism people had about it in pre-pandemic times has been replaced with apprehensions. And while a privileged minority, sitting in their high castles, continue to enjoy a larger and larger share of the fruits of "development," it is becoming obvious that the vast majority are increasingly struggling.  On a national scale, what is worrying is that economic growth itself is slowing down. On April 2, the World Bank revealed that it projects Bangladesh's real GDP growth to remain relatively subdued at 5.6 percent in the current fiscal year and at 5.7 percent in the following year, lower than the average annual growth rate of 6.6 percent over the decade preceding the Covid-19 pandemic. Similarl...
Thanking Bangladesh and India for Crisis Assistance
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Thanking Bangladesh and India for Crisis Assistance

Colombo, Jun 13 (PTI) Sri Lankan President Ranil Wickremesinghe on Thursday recalled the assistance received from India and Bangladesh during the early days of the worst economic crisis and said the island nation would not have been able to recover from the turmoil had these countries not helped. Expressing gratitude to the government and Reserve Bank of India, as well as the government and Central Bank of Bangladesh, for their financial support, which he described as lifesaving, the president in his keynote address at the inaugural session of the 45th “SAARCFINANCE” Governors' Meeting and Symposium here said the assistance, along with aid from the United States Agency For International Development (USAID) and the World Bank, was pivotal in stabilising the country's economy. “I must...
Asia, Market, World

Global Growth Is Stabilizing for the First Time in Three Years

WASHINGTON, June 11, 2024—The global economy is expected to stabilize for the first time in three years in 2024—but at a level that is weak by recent historical standards, according to the World Bank’s latest Global Economic Prospects report. Global growth is projected to hold steady at 2.6% in 2024 before edging up to an average of 2.7% in 2025-26. That is well below the 3.1% average in the decade before COVID-19. The forecast implies that over the course of 2024-26 countries that collectively account for more than 80% of the world’s population and global GDP would still be growing more slowly than they did in the decade before COVID-19. Overall, developing economies are projected to grow 4% on average over 2024-25, slightly slower than in 2023. Growth in low-income economies is ex...
According to UBS Securities, the Indian economy is in a goldilocks period.
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According to UBS Securities, the Indian economy is in a goldilocks period.

The Indian economy is in a goldilocks phase with strong growth and manageable macro stability risks, said UBS Securities on Monday, adding that the economy is likely to grow by 7% this fiscal year. In a webinar on Post-Election Indian Economy: Mapping India’s Growth Path, Tanvee Gupta Jain, Chief India Economist at UBS, said India is likely to maintain a potential growth of 6.5-7% year on year between FY26-30. India’s potential growth could benefit from digitalisation adoption, increased services exports and manufacturing push and implementation of hard reforms will take the potential growth rate even higher than 7%. “While political stability should help ensure continuity in policy agenda, we see risk of populist bias in the third term (targeted towards lower- income strata) and...
As the economic crisis hits, Iranians cast ballots in presidential elections.
World

As the economic crisis hits, Iranians cast ballots in presidential elections.

Asia-Pacific: The region's approach to making a green economy a priority In the vast expanse of the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region, the pressing need to tackle the dual challenges of environmental sustainability and economic growth has reached a critical juncture. The headwinds of climate change, coupled with unequal technological advancements, are intensifying the challenges to the region’s sustainable growth. Estimates suggest that as much as 63% ($19 trillion) of the region’s GDP is at risk due to nature loss caused by human activity and climate change. Amid these challenges, Asia and the Pacific remains the fastest growing region in the world. Sustaining this trajectory depends on investments by governments and businesses, on the digital economy and policies enabling innov...
Asia, Market, World

World Economic Situation and Prospects: June 2024 Briefing, No. 181

Enhanced global economic outlook amid persistent vulnerabilities Global macroeconomic outlook The global economic outlook has improved since the previous forecast released in January 2024. Despite the most aggressive monetary tightening in decades, a hard landing scenario of the United States economy has largely receded. Most major economies have managed to bring down inflation without increasing unemployment and triggering a recession. However, the outlook is only cautiously optimistic as higher-for-longer interest rates, debt difficulties, and escalating geopolitical risks will continue to challenge stable and sustained economic growth. Ever-worsening climate shocks continue to pose additional challenges to the global economic outlook, threatening decades of development gains, esp...