Asia

China’s economy gets off to better-than-forecast start to year
Asia, China

China’s economy gets off to better-than-forecast start to year

China’s main economic indicators fared better than forecast to start the year, in a sign that momentum was improving before the war in Iran roiled the outlook for global growth and inflation. Industrial production climbed 6.3% in the January-February period from a year ago — its fastest growth since September and up from 5.2% in December. Fixed-asset investment unexpectedly expanded 1.8%, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Monday, after contracting for the first time on record in 2025. Retail sales rose 2.8% in the first two months, accelerating from 0.9% in December and topping the 2.5% median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The figures provide the first official snapshot of the state of the world’s second-biggest economy this ye...
US, China economic chiefs meet in Paris to clear path to Trump-Xi summit
Asia, China, USA, World

US, China economic chiefs meet in Paris to clear path to Trump-Xi summit

Top U.S. and Chinese economic officials wrapped up the first of two days of talks in Paris on Sunday to iron out kinks in their trade truce and ​clear a path for U.S. President Donald Trump's trip to Beijing to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the end of March. The discussions, led by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He ‌Lifeng, were expected to focus on shifting U.S. tariffs, the flow of Chinese-produced rare earth minerals and magnets to U.S. buyers, American high-tech export controls and Chinese purchases of U.S. agricultural products. The two sides met for more than six hours at the Paris headquarters of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, with talks to resume on Monday morning, a Treasury spokesperson ...
Why Iran depends on exports to China
Asia, China

Why Iran depends on exports to China

While Iranian threats have brought maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz largely to a halt, experts doubt Iran will risk a long-term blockade of the shipping lane in retaliation for US-Israeli attacks. "Around 70 percent of Iran's non-oil trade passes through ports that depend on access via the Strait of Hormuz," says gas and economic analyst Dalga Khatinoglu of Iran International, a London-based news outlet. Blockading the strait long-term would hurt Iran itself. "It doesn't feel rational for Iran to close the street of Hormuz, because they have the imports of the crucial goods like crucial food for example, but also the majority of their exports go to China and India, so that would turn against the country," energy expert Sara Vakhshouri of SVB Energy...
Why an Iran war inflation shock could wreck global economic recovery
Asia

Why an Iran war inflation shock could wreck global economic recovery

An inflation shock triggered by the US-Israel attack on Iran could wreck a fragile global economic recovery that had been expected to gain momentum this year. With oil and gas prices spiking, despite a pledge from Donald Trump to protect tankers making their way through the crucial strait of Hormuz shipping chokepoint, central bankers and economists have warned that a prolonged conflict could increase retail prices around the world and force them to rip up growth forecasts for this year. On Friday, the International Monetary Fund managing director, Kristalina Georgieva, said a 10% increase in energy prices that persists for a year would push up global inflation by 40 basis points and slow global economic growth by 0.1-0.2%. “The world economy has been remarkably res...
U.S.-Israel War with Iran’s Impact on Indian, Chinese, and Global Economies
Asia, China, USA, World

U.S.-Israel War with Iran’s Impact on Indian, Chinese, and Global Economies

As the U.S. and Israeli war on Iran rages and expands, the immediate focus is understandably on military issues such as airstrikes, missile defense, naval deployments, and retaliatory actions. Yet beneath the spectacle of war lies a far more consequential battlefield: energy and the global economy. The Heart of the Global Energy System The Middle East remains at the center of global energy. Even though there has been diversification of energy sources in recent decades, the region still accounts for roughly 30% of global oil production and about half of all global seaborne oil exports. The region’s centrality is reinforced by the Strait of Hormuz, through which nearly 20 million barrels of oil per day flow, amounting to roughly 20% of the world’s daily oil supply. ...
The U.S.-Israeli War on Iran Shakes the Foundations of China’s Economy
Asia, China, USA, World

The U.S.-Israeli War on Iran Shakes the Foundations of China’s Economy

The Middle East has erupted in the most intense direct military escalation in decades. Joint U.S.-Israeli airstrikes targeted multiple Iranian sites, ranging from military and air defence facilities to locations linked to Iran’s missile and nuclear programs. U.S. President Donald Trump announced the launch of “major combat operations” aimed at dismantling Iran’s military and naval capabilities and preventing Tehran from acquiring a nuclear weapon, while calling on the Iranian people to rise against their government. Iran responded swiftly, launching dozens of ballistic missiles and drones toward Israel and U.S. bases in Gulf states in an operation dubbed “True Promise 4.” The escalation led to widespread airspace closures and a comprehensive state of emergency across the region. ...
China sets lowest GDP growth target for decades as it braces for economic slowdown
Asia, China

China sets lowest GDP growth target for decades as it braces for economic slowdown

‘High-quality growth’ target of 4.5-5% outlined at Two Sessions as Chinese premier talks of complex situations at home and abroad China has set its target for GDP growth to a record low of 4.5-5%, the first time since 1991 that the figure has dropped below 5%, reflecting an economic strategy that is shifting away from export-led growth to a model that leaders hope will be more resilient to external shocks. Li Qiang, China’s premier, announced the target for 2026 in the opening session of the National People’s Congress (NPC), China’s annual parliamentary gathering, which began on Thursday. Addressing the nearly 3,000 delegates gathered in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, Li described 2025 as a “truly remarkable” year with “profound and complex developments bo...
China’s economy showed ‘strong’ resilience in 2025, says spokesperson
Asia, China

China’s economy showed ‘strong’ resilience in 2025, says spokesperson

The Chinese economy demonstrated strong resilience and vitality despite challenging external factors in 2025, a spokesperson said on Tuesday. Liu Jieyi, spokesperson for the fourth session of the 14th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), China's top political advisory body, made the remarks at a press conference, one day before its annual session. China's total economic output crossed the new threshold of 140 trillion yuan (about $20 trillion) in 2025, with its growth rate continuing to rank among the highest of major economies globally, Liu said. New quality productive forces have grown rapidly, with deep integration of technology and industry leading to a surge of innovative achievements, the spokesperson said. Liu sa...
Trump’s tariff setback could spark surge in Chinese imports to US: analysts
Asia, China, USA, World

Trump’s tariff setback could spark surge in Chinese imports to US: analysts

Importers in the United States are expected to front-load goods from China after the Supreme Court struck down the use of emergency powers as the legal basis for US President Donald Trump’s sweeping global tariffs, potentially opening a brief window of relief, analysts said.Companies selling products made in China, or using Chinese raw materials, were likely to place larger orders in the coming weeks amid uncertainty over whether Trump’s pledge to raise a new tariff – from 10 per cent to 15 per cent – would take effect under a non-emergency statute or win congressional approval within the required 150 days, they said.Trump had partly justified last year’s tariff hikes on nearly all America’s trading partners under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), but the Suprem...
Why Asian firms are not cheering Trump tariff ruling
Asia, China

Why Asian firms are not cheering Trump tariff ruling

When the US Supreme Court struck down a central pillar of President Donald Trump's sweeping tariff regime last week, businesses across Asia did not celebrate. Instead, exporters, manufacturers and logistics companies were left grappling with more confusion over access to the world's largest consumer market. "No-one likes uncertainty," said Push Sharma, founder of Singapore-based wellness brand Haldy, which had spent years preparing to enter the American market before abruptly shelving its plans last year. "We had already done the trademark registrations, the groundwork, discussions with distributors," he said. "Then everything suddenly felt very drastic. We had to defer our plans." Trump's tariffs were designed to reduce global dependence on China among other things. Bu...